Jalen Brunson is destined to fall short of the 34.5 points line at home against the Sixers in game 5 and I have the numbers and trends to back it up.

Let's talk about Jalen Brunson and the upcoming game 5 between the Sixers and the Knicks. The line is set at 34.5 points for the dynamic point guard. Even though Brunson lit up the scoreboard the last two games in Philly, let me tell you why I think the under tonight at home is actually the safe bet.

First off, let's look at Brunson's performances at home. In the last 6 games at home against the Sixers, he has only averaged 21.5 points. That's VERY WELL below that 34.5 point line. For whatever reason when Brunson faces the Sixers at Madison Square Garden, his scoring plummets. Plus, in 8 of the last 10 home games overall, Brunson has been under that 34.5 point mark with a 26.4 average. Again well below that 34.5 point threshold. Brunson just doesn’t seem to have a taste for that home cooking lately.

Brunson is a very talented player but the Sixers have a solid perimeter defense. They rank 10th in the league in defending points against the point guard position. They'll likely be looking to shut down Brunson early on because the Sixers are in desperation mode in this elimination game. Plus, with other scoring options on this Knicks roster like Josh Hart and Donte DiVincenzo, Brunson will not need to carry the team on his back in this home game.

If you're looking to place a bet on this postseason contest, I'd say go with the under for Jalen Brunson's points. It's a safe bet based on his recent home performances overall and against the Sixers. Let’s lock this up and get this DUB!

Pick: Jalen Brunson Under 34.5 Points

JP👊🏾🤑