Pick 2: Colorado Avalanche ML (-166)

The Colorado Avalanche's recent surge and dominating home record make them the team to tip in today's face-off against the Winnipeg Jets.

If the NHL playoffs were a high-stakes poker game, the Colorado Avalanche would be sitting with a royal flush. After a brief stumble in the series opener, the Avs have roared back, capturing two consecutive wins to seize control of the series against the Winnipeg Jets. As they return to the ice today at Ball Arena, where they've been close to invincible this season with a 31-9-1 record, the stage is set for Colorado to push the throttle even further.

Let's break down the Avalanche's winning hand, shall we? First off, their comeback capability is not just impressive—it's downright intimidating. With 26 regular-season comebacks, only trailing the New York Rangers, the Avalanche have shown time and again that no deficit is too daunting for them to overcome. That resilience was on full display in Game 3, where they turned a 2-1 third-period deficit into a 6-2 victory, a feat that not only showcases their scoring prowess but also their mental toughness.

Digging into the numbers, the Avalanche's offense has been a relentless force, tying for the most goals in the league this postseason with a staggering total of 17 in just three games. That's an average of 5.67 goals per game, folks. With firepower like that, it's easy to see why the Jets have struggled to contain Colorado's attack. The Avs' dynamic duo of Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, along with the blue-line brilliance of Cale Makar, have been nothing short of spectacular, combining for a hefty slice of Colorado's offensive output.

But it's not just the star players lighting the lamp; the Avalanche's depth scoring has been a key factor in their success. Artturi Lehkonen and Valeri Nichushkin have both been on a tear, contributing crucial goals that have kept the Jets on their heels. This balanced attack ensures that even if one line isn't firing, there are plenty of others ready to step up and make a difference.

On the defensive end, the Avalanche have shown some vulnerability, but they've more than compensated with their offensive onslaught. And let's not overlook the man between the pipes, Alexandar Georgiev, who, after a rocky start in Game 1, has bounced back with a .926 save percentage over the last two outings. If Georgiev can maintain this level of play, the Avalanche's chances of securing a win in Game 4 look incredibly promising.

The Jets, on the other hand, have had their moments but ultimately seem to be struggling to keep pace with Colorado's high-octane offense. Despite having a potent attack of their own, the Jets have been outscored 11-4 in the last two games, a statistic that doesn't bode well for their chances in today's matchup. Add to that the challenge of playing on the Avalanche's home ice, and the uphill battle becomes even steeper for Winnipeg.

In a nutshell, the Avalanche have hit their stride at the perfect moment, combining a potent offense, resilient comebacks, and solid goaltending to take control of the series. As they gear up for Game 4, the energy and confidence of playing in front of their home crowd at Ball Arena, where they've been nearly unbeatable, could very well be the x-factor that propels them to another victory.

For those keeping an eye on the betting lines, the Avalanche's recent performances, coupled with their formidable home record, make them a compelling pick against the Jets. While nothing in the playoffs is ever certain, Colorado's current form, depth, and home-ice advantage position them as the team to watch in what promises to be another thrilling chapter in this playoff saga. Avalanche fans, buckle up; this ride is far from over, and if the team's recent form is any indication, the best is yet to come.