Pick #1: Taylor Fritz ML (-152 FanDuel)

**ATP Madrid Tennis Betting Preview: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez**

In the third round action at the ATP Madrid Open, tennis fans are in for an exciting matchup between Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez. As bettors analyze the odds and consider their options, there are several key factors to keep in mind.

Taylor Fritz enters this match with confidence, coming off a brilliant run to the final in Munich. With a solid record of 16-7 in 2024, including a 4-2 mark on clay, Fritz has demonstrated his ability to excel on this surface. His powerful serve is a significant weapon, capable of troubling any opponent and dictating play on the court.

On the other side of the net, Sebastian Baez has had a respectable season, but his recent form may raise some concerns. While his overall record of 18-9 in 2024 is commendable, Baez has struggled against top-ranked opponents, particularly on clay. With a 1-5 record against top 50 players this year, and a 1-2 record on clay, Baez faces a formidable challenge against the higher-ranked Fritz.

Moreover, Baez has never won a match against Fritz in their previous encounters, highlighting the American's dominance in this matchup. While Baez may feel more comfortable on clay, Fritz's powerful groundstrokes and aggressive style of play could prove too much for the Argentine to handle.

The faster conditions at the Madrid Open are likely to favor Fritz, allowing him to hold his serve with ease and create opportunities to break Baez's serve. With his strong form and confidence heading into this match, Fritz appears poised to come out on top and secure the victory.

In summary, while Sebastian Baez may pose a challenge, Taylor Fritz's superior skills and recent success make him the favorite to win the moneyline in this matchup. Bettors looking for a solid pick should consider backing Fritz to continue his winning streak and advance to the next round of the ATP Madrid event.