Alperen Sengun (HOU) Under 30.5 PRA 

Sengun based on his charts seem to be on shaky as of late, hitting this line in 5 of his last 10 games. I believe Sengun will most likely struggle, given his history vs MIA and the tough matchup in Bam adebayo. On the road he's hit this line only 4 out of his last ten matches, and vs the heat he doesn't get anywhere close to this line, averaging 17 PRA. We saw something similar in this in plumlee, going strong with PRA until running into BAM and collapsing hard. I think the two are similar players and will similarly struggle tonight