Kristaps Porzingis Over 21.5 Pts

Too low of a line for a man who has gone over this in 9 of his last 11 games (since trade deadline), which includes ¾ over in away games. He is averaging 25.1 points per game in this span, and the position with the biggest weakness in this 76ers defense is forwards, as they are allowing the 8th most threes made and 11th most points to the position since the trade deadline. In that same time span, the 76ers are allowing the 9th most defended three point field goals made. He has played them three times this season with 24, 30, and 32 points. His main matchup will be PJ Tucker who has not been able to stop him, allowing 7/13 shooting and 6 free throw attempts. His size over Tucker will be very beneficial in his post-up game, which is his go to.

(L10 Games)


Jamal Murray Over 21.5 Pts

Since he came back from injury since the all star break, he has gone over this line in 4/8 games. He is averaging 33 minutes per game and one of those games he only played 25 minutes. In games with at least 30 minutes at home, he has gone over this line in 12/23 games. The Nuggets are 9 point favorites at home and look to set the record straight after a bad loss against the Spurs the other day. In games with wins at home, he has gone over this line in 11/18 games. This game has a 232 point total which is nice, but I love this spot for Murray because of the Nets drop coverage. Murray’s go to shot is the pullup, which is 53% of his shots, and since the trade deadline, the Nets have allowed the 4th most pullup field goals made. He will have one of the easier matchups for this team with Dinwiddie being his primary matchup, who has a 52% defensive EPM rating. Some guards who love to pullup who the Nets have played recently are Anthony Edwards (32), Jalen Green (25), Jaylen Brown (35), and Jalen Brunson (39). He has gone over this line in 6 of his last 10 games, but ¾ unders were against teams are top 7 in pullup field goals made (defend it well), so this will be a great matchup for him to hit the over in. 

CJ McCollum Over 6.5 Ast

Last game without Brandon Ingram he had 8 Ast on 13 potential assists. He is averaging 6.6 assists per 36 minutes without Ingram and Zion on the court this season in 16 full games. He has a great matchup against Portland today who is allowing the 4th most assists to guards since the trade deadline. Most of his assists go to Valanciunas and Murphy who have great matchups tonight as Porland allows the 11th most catch and shoot threes, the 5th most threes made to guards, and 4th most points to centers, along with the 5th most defended field goals made inside 10 feet. This game has a 230 point total and with Portland playing at a faster pace, he will get a slight pace boost. Some of the recent guards against Portland were Harden (8), White (7), Ivey (13), Fultz (8), and Young (11).