Cameron Johnson Over 17.5 Pts
Beautiful matchup for Johnson considering that Kings are allowing the MOST points and three pointers made to small forwards per 48 minutes the last 30 days. Since the all-star break they are allowing the MOST catch and shoot threes made as well. He has gone over in 2/4 games at home this since being traded and 6/13 over overall since being traded. The last two games he is finally getting out of his slump shooting 45% and 53% from the field and with this game having the highest point total today (tied with Bucks game) and Kings having the 7th highest pace since the all-star break, which means this will be a great pace boost for him considering the Nets since the break have had the 7th slowest pace. Looking at some three point shooting forwards since the deadline against the Kings, they’ve faced Nassir Little (4 3PM), Kawhi Leonard (6 3PM), Luguentz Dort (4 & 2 3PM), Nicolas Batum (3 3PM), Kyle Anderson & Jalen McDaniels (3 3PM each), Herbert Jones (3 3PM), Julius Randle (2 3PM), Josh Okogie (3 3PM), Khris Middleton (4 3PM), and DeMar DeRozan (4 3PM). Shooters have had a lot of success against the Kings as we can see here.
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 8.5 Ast
Dinwiddie has gone over this line in no home games with the Nets yet this season and has gone over in only 4 games. One thing that is important is how in 3/5 home games were against teams in the top 12 in assists to guards since the deadline. Another thing to point out is how Ben Simmons was playing in 4 of his 14 games this season. In the two home games without Simmons he’s, had 8 assists each with 9 potential and 17 potential assists. He’s only had two home games since the all-star break and is averaging 8 assists on 13 potential assists, which were against teams that defend guard assists well. Overall since the all-star break, he’s gone over this line in 4/8 games, averaging 8.9 assists on 15.7 potential assists. Kings are allowing the most assists to point guard per 48 minutes in the last 30 days. In his last three games he’s had 12.7 assists & 21 potential assists on 70 passes per game. Before all-star break, he had a 33% assists percentage. Post all-star break, he’s had 53% assists percentage, including 64.4% the last three games.
Franz Wagner Under 16.5 Pts
Since the trade deadline, he has gone under on the road in 2/6 games and is averaging 12.7 points per game compared to 6/8 over at home averaging 18.5 points per game. he is so much better at home compared to away because since the new year, he’s gone over this prop in 9/14 games averaging 18.1 points per game versus on the road where he’s gone over in 9/17 games averaging 16.7 points per game. 3 of his 11 games since the deadline have been without Wendell Carter Jr as he gets a big usage bump without him an was averaging 23 points per game, but without Carter Jr, he’s averaging 14.1 points per game. He has a tougher matchup today against the Suns in which should be a lower scoring game (228 point total). 57% of his field goal attempts are less than 10 feet which is an issue for him considering the Suns allow the 6th least defended field goals made inside 10 feet and 2nd least points in the paint to forwards since the all-star break. His main matchup will be Josh Okogie who has been defending very well this season and has a defensive EPM in the 98th percentile. Last time he played the Suns in early November, he had 17 points on 7/15 shooting but that was a game without Banchero playing.
(L10 Away Games)
Isaiah Joe Under 9.5 Pts
Since SGA came back after the all-star break, Joe has had in increase in minutes (25.9 mpg) but that has not generated into opportunities as he’s only averaging 7 field goal attempts per game and under this line in all 5 games (6.8 ppg). Overall in march he has been on a cold streak going under this line in 6 straight games, shooting 28% from the field and 30% from three. Since the 5th, he is shooting 12/33 when open or wide open, and is 1/12 when tightly contested. That is a problem considering Toronto plays defense aggressive. 70% of his shots are catch and shoot threes, but Toronto is allowing the 8th least catch & shoot threes made, along with the least three pointers made to guards since the all-star break. The weakness for Toronto is defending wing with forward that are spot up shooters and the interior in general, but because 70% of his shots are catch & shoot threes and being a 6 foot 3 guard against the length of Toronto and being in a slump, is a tough spot for Joe.
(L6 Games)
Beautiful matchup for Johnson considering that Kings are allowing the MOST points and three pointers made to small forwards per 48 minutes the last 30 days. Since the all-star break they are allowing the MOST catch and shoot threes made as well. He has gone over in 2/4 games at home this since being traded and 6/13 over overall since being traded. The last two games he is finally getting out of his slump shooting 45% and 53% from the field and with this game having the highest point total today (tied with Bucks game) and Kings having the 7th highest pace since the all-star break, which means this will be a great pace boost for him considering the Nets since the break have had the 7th slowest pace. Looking at some three point shooting forwards since the deadline against the Kings, they’ve faced Nassir Little (4 3PM), Kawhi Leonard (6 3PM), Luguentz Dort (4 & 2 3PM), Nicolas Batum (3 3PM), Kyle Anderson & Jalen McDaniels (3 3PM each), Herbert Jones (3 3PM), Julius Randle (2 3PM), Josh Okogie (3 3PM), Khris Middleton (4 3PM), and DeMar DeRozan (4 3PM). Shooters have had a lot of success against the Kings as we can see here.
Spencer Dinwiddie Over 8.5 Ast
Dinwiddie has gone over this line in no home games with the Nets yet this season and has gone over in only 4 games. One thing that is important is how in 3/5 home games were against teams in the top 12 in assists to guards since the deadline. Another thing to point out is how Ben Simmons was playing in 4 of his 14 games this season. In the two home games without Simmons he’s, had 8 assists each with 9 potential and 17 potential assists. He’s only had two home games since the all-star break and is averaging 8 assists on 13 potential assists, which were against teams that defend guard assists well. Overall since the all-star break, he’s gone over this line in 4/8 games, averaging 8.9 assists on 15.7 potential assists. Kings are allowing the most assists to point guard per 48 minutes in the last 30 days. In his last three games he’s had 12.7 assists & 21 potential assists on 70 passes per game. Before all-star break, he had a 33% assists percentage. Post all-star break, he’s had 53% assists percentage, including 64.4% the last three games.
Franz Wagner Under 16.5 Pts
Since the trade deadline, he has gone under on the road in 2/6 games and is averaging 12.7 points per game compared to 6/8 over at home averaging 18.5 points per game. he is so much better at home compared to away because since the new year, he’s gone over this prop in 9/14 games averaging 18.1 points per game versus on the road where he’s gone over in 9/17 games averaging 16.7 points per game. 3 of his 11 games since the deadline have been without Wendell Carter Jr as he gets a big usage bump without him an was averaging 23 points per game, but without Carter Jr, he’s averaging 14.1 points per game. He has a tougher matchup today against the Suns in which should be a lower scoring game (228 point total). 57% of his field goal attempts are less than 10 feet which is an issue for him considering the Suns allow the 6th least defended field goals made inside 10 feet and 2nd least points in the paint to forwards since the all-star break. His main matchup will be Josh Okogie who has been defending very well this season and has a defensive EPM in the 98th percentile. Last time he played the Suns in early November, he had 17 points on 7/15 shooting but that was a game without Banchero playing.
(L10 Away Games)
Isaiah Joe Under 9.5 Pts
Since SGA came back after the all-star break, Joe has had in increase in minutes (25.9 mpg) but that has not generated into opportunities as he’s only averaging 7 field goal attempts per game and under this line in all 5 games (6.8 ppg). Overall in march he has been on a cold streak going under this line in 6 straight games, shooting 28% from the field and 30% from three. Since the 5th, he is shooting 12/33 when open or wide open, and is 1/12 when tightly contested. That is a problem considering Toronto plays defense aggressive. 70% of his shots are catch and shoot threes, but Toronto is allowing the 8th least catch & shoot threes made, along with the least three pointers made to guards since the all-star break. The weakness for Toronto is defending wing with forward that are spot up shooters and the interior in general, but because 70% of his shots are catch & shoot threes and being a 6 foot 3 guard against the length of Toronto and being in a slump, is a tough spot for Joe.
(L6 Games)
Can your fantasy team be saved?
I'm here to help.