Pick 8: Jake Guentzel Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (+115)

Jake Guentzel is set to fire away and break the 3.5 shots on goal line tonight against the NY Rangers.

For those of you who love to analyze the numbers behind the game, we've got some juicy stats to dig into when it comes to Pittsburgh's high-flying forward, Jake Guentzel. With a clash against the NY Rangers on the horizon, we're breaking down why we're picking the over for Guentzel's shots on goal tonight, where the line is set at 3.5. 

First, let's take a look at Guentzel's overall performance this season. Averaging 3.19 shots on goal, he's been a constant offensive threat on the ice. Now, let's dive into the game-by-game breakdown. This season, Guentzel has had more than 3.5 shots on goal in 25 games, while he's clocked in less than 3.5 shots on goal in 39 games. But before you start doubting our pick, let's take a closer look at his recent performance. Over the last 20 games, Guentzel's been on fire, averaging 3.95 shots on goal and hitting more than 3.5 shots on goal in 11 games. 

But wait, there's more! Over the last 10 games, Guentzel's average shots on goal have risen to 4.0, with him breaking the 3.5 shots on goal line in 6 games. He's been averaging a whopping 4.4 shots on goal, surpassing the 3.5 shots on goal mark in 3 games. If you're a fan of trends, this upward trajectory is just what you want to see when considering the over for tonight's game.

Now, let's bring the focus to Guentzel's history against the NY Rangers. In 3 games against the Rangers, he's been shooting the lights out, averaging 4.33 shots on goal. This is a key piece of information when looking at tonight's matchup, as Guentzel has shown a consistent ability to pepper the Rangers' net with shots. Out of his last 10 games against the Rangers, he has four or more shots 8 times and an average of 5.2 per game against them. 

When taking into account his recent form and past performance against the Rangers, the numbers are definitely stacking up in favor of Guentzel breaking the 3.5 shots on goal line tonight. At plus odds, I think the value is certainly there. 

However, as with any bet, there's always an element of risk involved. It's important to remember that we're not guaranteeing anything here, and there are no "sure things" when it comes to sports betting. But, based on the data we've shared with you today, we believe that Jake Guentzel is primed to put on a shooting clinic against the NY Rangers, making the over a compelling pick for those who like to put their money where their mouth is.

So, fellow sports bettors and puck enthusiasts, get ready for a thrilling game tonight as Jake Guentzel looks to make a statement against the NY Rangers. Will he surpass the 3.5 shots on goal line? Only time will tell, but we're certainly excited to see how this showdown unfolds on the ice.