Pick #2 - Domantas Sabonis Over 20.5 Points (-135) on BetMGM

A lot of basketball heads have been waiting for the other shoe to drop for the Sacramento Kings, but those doubters could be waiting a while.

The team hasn’t taken its foot off the gas in the second chunk of the schedule and head coach Mike Brown won’t let his team – even his stars – get too comfortable.

Brown stressed the importance of winning every game as the Kings chase the No. 1 seed in the West and even calls out his best players, like Domantas Sabonis, for crucial miscues that could cost his team in the postseason.

But even the level-headed Brown couldn’t contain his amazement of the 7-footer on Saturday. Sabonis was nearly flawless in Sacramento’s win at Washington on the weekend, shooting 10-for-12 from the floor and getting to the foul line for 10 of 12 free throws, collecting 30 points in the victory.

Sabonis locks horns with a large Utah frontcourt tonight and NBA odds have his points prop parked at 20.5 (Over -130). He's gone Over his point total in back-to-back games and in three of his last four, putting up 30, 24, 14, and 23-point performances in that span. He’s scored 21+ points in seven of his last 10 contests overall.

The Utah Jazz may have plenty of beef up front, but they do struggle to slow down rival big men. Utah is the second-worst defense vs. opposing centers, giving up 38.3 points per game to the position. Sabonis is a matchup nightmare, with the ability to play with his back to the basket as well as stretch the defense with his shooting touch.

He can also beat his matchups off the dribble and that aggressiveness has paid off at the stripe in recent games, collecting 18 (on 21 free throws) of his 54 total points from the foul line the past two games. Utah sits 20th in personal fouls given and sends rivals to the stripe an average of 24.2 times per outing.

In the previous two matchups with the Jazz, Sabonis totaled 21 and 28 points on a collective 20-for-25 shooting as well as went 7-for-10 on free throws. I expect Sabonis to stay aggressive and attack a Utah interior that gives up 53.4 points in the paint per game.

Sabonis’ points prop is starting to tick up to 21.5 at some sportsbooks, so grab the lower number while you can.