Pick 1: L. Dort o5.5 REB (-120)
This is a smash spot for Lu. He is 9 out of his last 10 on this line, and he's coming off 2 games where he had 10 and 8 boards.
He's averaging 6.6 over his last 10, but this is going to be a mega-paced up spot for the Thunder, and he should have no problem grabbing 6+. In his last game against the Warriors he secured 8 rebounds and should see a similar number tonight.
Additionally, on the season, the warriors are allowing the 3rd most rebounds to Lu's SG position, which has a lot to do with their shooting tendencies. The Warriors give up a lot of long rebounds, which is where Lu thrives. His only real competition on the boards is going to be Steph Curry, who will likely be matched up with SGA for the majority of the game anyways, so Lu will probably spend most of his time matched up with Klay, who is not going to contest him on the boards.
I actually got this at -115 last night, but I'd expect this number to keep dropping. I'm going to be looking at alternate lines on FanDuel today as well. This is a game that is inherently going to be very favorable to overs. The total sits at 242.5 right now (which is absurd by the way), so a lot of points will be scored, and I like the idea of parlaying this with perhaps an OKC player's points prop. We'll see where the odds land for a potential parlay, but certainly a ladder is in order for Dort this game.
My Pick: L. Dort o5.5 (-115) DraftKings
Pick 1: L. Dort o5.5 REB (-120)
This is a smash spot for Lu. He is 9 out of his last 10 on this line, and he's coming off 2 games where he had 10 and 8 boards.
He's averaging 6.6 over his last 10, but this is going to be a mega-paced up spot for the Thunder, and he should have no problem grabbing 6+. In his last game against the Warriors he secured 8 rebounds and should see a similar number tonight.
Additionally, on the season, the warriors are allowing the 3rd most rebounds to Lu's SG position, which has a lot to do with their shooting tendencies. The Warriors give up a lot of long rebounds, which is where Lu thrives. His only real competition on the boards is going to be Steph Curry, who will likely be matched up with SGA for the majority of the game anyways, so Lu will probably spend most of his time matched up with Klay, who is not going to contest him on the boards.
I actually got this at -115 last night, but I'd expect this number to keep dropping. I'm going to be looking at alternate lines on FanDuel today as well. This is a game that is inherently going to be very favorable to overs. The total sits at 242.5 right now (which is absurd by the way), so a lot of points will be scored, and I like the idea of parlaying this with perhaps an OKC player's points prop. We'll see where the odds land for a potential parlay, but certainly a ladder is in order for Dort this game.
My Pick: L. Dort o5.5 (-115) DraftKings
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