Pick #10: Blue Jays First 5 Inning -0.5 Run Line (-170)
Kevin Gausman takes the bump for Toronto and brings a 2.84 ERA into this matchup. On the other side, Chris Flexen is still looking for his first season win for Seattle and has a 8.86 ERA through five starts. This is a RHP v RHP matchup and both teams hit RHP better than LHP so I'm kinda taking that out of the equation. But, Gausman is a strikeout pitcher with 41 Ks on the year, compared to Flexen's 14 in an even number of starts. That's not good for Seattle. Their K/game rate is the 4th worst in the MLB for the season and tied for the worst over their last three.
Two outings ago Gausman got hit hard by Houston, giving up seven earned over 4.2 but other than that, he's been money. He's only given up three earned runs over 27 innings in his other four starts. That's phenomenal. Flexen not so much. He had a descent start, only giving up one earned over 4.0 in his season debut. But since then, his earned run count has been, 2, 8, 4, 6. He's only made it past the fifth inning once in five appearances. Pitching edge to Toronto.
Toronto has the batting edge too. Their avg/obp/ops slash line against RHP is .257/.337/.764. That same line for the Mariners against RHP is .232./.322/.694. Toronto has the edge in each batting stat. I already mentioned Seattle being one of the worst K/game teams in the MLB, Toronto is the opposite, they are top 8 for fewest K/game. Throw in runs per game (Toronto 11th, Seattle 20th) and Toronto has a pretty clear offensive edge too.
I couldn't find the game lines in the Pine Bot so no graph today but, if one come up I will update.
Pick #10: Blue Jays First 5 Inning -0.5 Run Line (-170)
Kevin Gausman takes the bump for Toronto and brings a 2.84 ERA into this matchup. On the other side, Chris Flexen is still looking for his first season win for Seattle and has a 8.86 ERA through five starts. This is a RHP v RHP matchup and both teams hit RHP better than LHP so I'm kinda taking that out of the equation. But, Gausman is a strikeout pitcher with 41 Ks on the year, compared to Flexen's 14 in an even number of starts. That's not good for Seattle. Their K/game rate is the 4th worst in the MLB for the season and tied for the worst over their last three.
Two outings ago Gausman got hit hard by Houston, giving up seven earned over 4.2 but other than that, he's been money. He's only given up three earned runs over 27 innings in his other four starts. That's phenomenal. Flexen not so much. He had a descent start, only giving up one earned over 4.0 in his season debut. But since then, his earned run count has been, 2, 8, 4, 6. He's only made it past the fifth inning once in five appearances. Pitching edge to Toronto.
Toronto has the batting edge too. Their avg/obp/ops slash line against RHP is .257/.337/.764. That same line for the Mariners against RHP is .232./.322/.694. Toronto has the edge in each batting stat. I already mentioned Seattle being one of the worst K/game teams in the MLB, Toronto is the opposite, they are top 8 for fewest K/game. Throw in runs per game (Toronto 11th, Seattle 20th) and Toronto has a pretty clear offensive edge too.
I couldn't find the game lines in the Pine Bot so no graph today but, if one come up I will update.
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