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Betting on Martin Perez to dominate at home and rack up more than 4.5 strikeouts against the Colorado Rockies is a solid choice for MLB action.
Martin Perez has been a roller coaster this season, but when it comes to strikeouts, the data doesn't lie. The Texas Rangers lefty is averaging 5.28 strikeouts per game this season, and at home, that number jumps to 5.69. With the Rockies coming into town for a three-game series, Perez is well-positioned to rack up those Ks and cash in on the over for his strikeout line of 4.5.
Perez had a stellar start to the season, posting a 2.41 ERA over six starts in the first month. However, May hasn't been as kind to the Rangers starter, with an 11.42 ERA over two starts. But let's focus on what really matters for this bet: strikeouts. In 23 games this season, Perez has had more than 4.5 strikeouts, and in his last 20 games, he's averaging 5.45. Over the last 10 games, he's sitting at 5.1 strikeouts, hitting the over in seven of those matchups.
While it's true that Perez's strikeout numbers have dipped slightly in the last five games, averaging 4.0 and hitting the over in just two games, we can't ignore the matchup against the Rockies and his history of success against them. In two games against Colorado, Perez averages 4.5 strikeouts, and let's not forget his gem of a performance last August 24th, when he went six scoreless innings in a 16-4 Rangers victory.
The Rockies, on the other hand, are bringing in right-hander Karl Kauffmann for his major league debut. While Kauffmann has had an up-and-down season in Triple-A Albuquerque, posting a 7.78 ERA, his sinker has been effective when he's on his game. But facing a Rangers lineup that's only been adding to its scoring potential, Kauffmann and the Rockies' pitching staff are definitely going to have their hands full.
The Rangers' offense has been getting a boost lately, with shortstop Corey Seager returning from the injured list and Adolis Garcia swinging a hot bat, smashing a pair of solo home runs in the Rangers' 6-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. That's not to mention the struggles the Texas bullpen has had, allowing 73 runs from the seventh inning on this season, according to mlb.com. This means Perez will need to stay on top of his game and keep racking up those strikeouts to give the Rangers a chance to win.
When it comes to the Rockies, their offense isn't exactly a home run machine, ranking 26th in MLB with a total of 37 home runs this season. This should provide some comfort for Perez and the Rangers, as the long ball has been a talking point in their recent games. However, the Rockies have been tightening up their offense since the beginning of the year, focusing on scoring runs in other ways besides the long ball.
One player to keep an eye on is Jurickson Profar, who started his career with the Rangers and is now with the Rockies. Profar is currently riding a career-best 27-game on-base streak into Friday's series opener, and Rockies manager Bud Black believes there's even more potential in his game. This makes it even more crucial for Perez to keep the strikeouts coming and limit the damage from Colorado's offense.
With Martin Perez's strikeout history at home, the Rockies' tendency to strike out at the plate, and the Rangers' need for strong pitching performances all point towards a high likelihood of Perez surpassing the 4.5 strikeout line. So, get ready to hammer the over on Martin Perez's strikeouts against the Rockies and enjoy the thrill of watching those Ks pile up. Just remember, there's always a risk involved in betting, but the data and matchup make this one a solid choice for MLB action.
Betting on Martin Perez to dominate at home and rack up more than 4.5 strikeouts against the Colorado Rockies is a solid choice for MLB action.
Martin Perez has been a roller coaster this season, but when it comes to strikeouts, the data doesn't lie. The Texas Rangers lefty is averaging 5.28 strikeouts per game this season, and at home, that number jumps to 5.69. With the Rockies coming into town for a three-game series, Perez is well-positioned to rack up those Ks and cash in on the over for his strikeout line of 4.5.
Perez had a stellar start to the season, posting a 2.41 ERA over six starts in the first month. However, May hasn't been as kind to the Rangers starter, with an 11.42 ERA over two starts. But let's focus on what really matters for this bet: strikeouts. In 23 games this season, Perez has had more than 4.5 strikeouts, and in his last 20 games, he's averaging 5.45. Over the last 10 games, he's sitting at 5.1 strikeouts, hitting the over in seven of those matchups.
While it's true that Perez's strikeout numbers have dipped slightly in the last five games, averaging 4.0 and hitting the over in just two games, we can't ignore the matchup against the Rockies and his history of success against them. In two games against Colorado, Perez averages 4.5 strikeouts, and let's not forget his gem of a performance last August 24th, when he went six scoreless innings in a 16-4 Rangers victory.
The Rockies, on the other hand, are bringing in right-hander Karl Kauffmann for his major league debut. While Kauffmann has had an up-and-down season in Triple-A Albuquerque, posting a 7.78 ERA, his sinker has been effective when he's on his game. But facing a Rangers lineup that's only been adding to its scoring potential, Kauffmann and the Rockies' pitching staff are definitely going to have their hands full.
The Rangers' offense has been getting a boost lately, with shortstop Corey Seager returning from the injured list and Adolis Garcia swinging a hot bat, smashing a pair of solo home runs in the Rangers' 6-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. That's not to mention the struggles the Texas bullpen has had, allowing 73 runs from the seventh inning on this season, according to mlb.com. This means Perez will need to stay on top of his game and keep racking up those strikeouts to give the Rangers a chance to win.
When it comes to the Rockies, their offense isn't exactly a home run machine, ranking 26th in MLB with a total of 37 home runs this season. This should provide some comfort for Perez and the Rangers, as the long ball has been a talking point in their recent games. However, the Rockies have been tightening up their offense since the beginning of the year, focusing on scoring runs in other ways besides the long ball.
One player to keep an eye on is Jurickson Profar, who started his career with the Rangers and is now with the Rockies. Profar is currently riding a career-best 27-game on-base streak into Friday's series opener, and Rockies manager Bud Black believes there's even more potential in his game. This makes it even more crucial for Perez to keep the strikeouts coming and limit the damage from Colorado's offense.
With Martin Perez's strikeout history at home, the Rockies' tendency to strike out at the plate, and the Rangers' need for strong pitching performances all point towards a high likelihood of Perez surpassing the 4.5 strikeout line. So, get ready to hammer the over on Martin Perez's strikeouts against the Rockies and enjoy the thrill of watching those Ks pile up. Just remember, there's always a risk involved in betting, but the data and matchup make this one a solid choice for MLB action.
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