Pick #4: Aaron Nola to Record a Win (-120 DraftKings)

Aaron Nola is primed to dominate the Detroit Tigers in today's matchup, with his impressive home splits and the Phillies' offense heating up in June. 

Let's talk about Aaron Nola, the Philadelphia Phillies' starting pitcher who has been on fire lately, especially at home. Nola has pitched into the 6th inning in nine straight starts, and his stats at home just as impressive: a 3.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 8.8 K/9 over 25.2 innings. That's the kind of pitcher you want on the mound when facing a struggling Detroit Tigers lineup.

Over the last month, the Detroit Tigers have been underwhelming against right-handed pitchers on the road, ranking 23rd in wRAA, 28th in ISO, and 26th in SLG. This is the kind of matchup Nola feasts on, and with the Phillies' offense typically heating up in June, I expect him to get the run support he needs to secure the win.

Let's dive deeper into Nola's performance at home. With a 1.09 WHIP, he's been able to keep runners off the basepaths, limiting scoring opportunities for opposing teams. Combine this with his solid 8.8 K/9, and you've got a pitcher who can shut down the opposition and rack up strikeouts. It's no surprise that his home ERA is a respectable 3.86, given these numbers.

The Detroit Tigers are going to have their hands full with Nola today. Their recent struggles against right-handed pitchers on the road are a cause for concern, especially when facing someone as dominant as Nola at home. If they can't get their bats going, it's going to be a long day for the Tigers' lineup.

On the flip side, the Phillies' offense is known for heating up as the summer months roll in. With a history of success in June, the Phillies' bats are likely to provide Nola with the run support he needs to secure a victory. This combination of an elite pitcher and a hot offense is a recipe for success, and it's why I'm confident in Aaron Nola picking up the win today.

While no bet is ever a "guarantee," the data and trends suggest that Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies are in a prime position to succeed in today's matchup against the Detroit Tigers. With Nola's home dominance and the Phillies' offense heating up, it's hard not to be excited about their chances.

So, for all you MLB betting enthusiasts and Phillies fans out there, today's game is one to keep an eye on. Aaron Nola is ready to put on a show, and with the Phillies' offense backing him up, the Detroit Tigers should be prepared for a tough battle. Don't miss out on this exciting matchup, and remember to always bet responsibly. Let's go, Phillies!