Kelsey Plum Under 16.5 Pts (-114 FD)
Plum has had some struggles shooting the ball this season, shooting 37% from the field and particularly from beyond the arc with 20% three point percentage. She is taking the most threes per game on the Aces, yet the Sun are allowing the 5th fewest three pointers made at the lowest percentage so far this season. 41% of her field goal attempts are three point attempts and seeing how she has only gone over this prop in 2 of 6 games seems like a tall task. 50% of her points come in the paint but another problem I see with this is how the Sun allow the 2nd fewest points in the paint. The Aces are a dominant team and can always find scoring through other players.
Alyssa Thomas Under 6.5 Ast (-113 FD)
Thomas and the Suns have a tough matchup against the undefeated Aces. She has gone under this prop in 5 of 7 games this season. When I started to dig into the research, I noticed that her two overs were against teams that were bottom 5 in defensive rating, while 3 of her 5 under games were against the Mystics and Liberty who are in the top half of the league in defensive rating. As of tonight, the Aces are the best in the league in defensive rating. Not only that but they also allow the 4th fewest assists to opponents per game. The Aces weakness is the three ball, yet the Sun take the fewest attempts in the league and only 27% of her assists come from made threes.
Kelsey Plum Under 16.5 Pts (-114 FD)
Plum has had some struggles shooting the ball this season, shooting 37% from the field and particularly from beyond the arc with 20% three point percentage. She is taking the most threes per game on the Aces, yet the Sun are allowing the 5th fewest three pointers made at the lowest percentage so far this season. 41% of her field goal attempts are three point attempts and seeing how she has only gone over this prop in 2 of 6 games seems like a tall task. 50% of her points come in the paint but another problem I see with this is how the Sun allow the 2nd fewest points in the paint. The Aces are a dominant team and can always find scoring through other players.
Alyssa Thomas Under 6.5 Ast (-113 FD)
Thomas and the Suns have a tough matchup against the undefeated Aces. She has gone under this prop in 5 of 7 games this season. When I started to dig into the research, I noticed that her two overs were against teams that were bottom 5 in defensive rating, while 3 of her 5 under games were against the Mystics and Liberty who are in the top half of the league in defensive rating. As of tonight, the Aces are the best in the league in defensive rating. Not only that but they also allow the 4th fewest assists to opponents per game. The Aces weakness is the three ball, yet the Sun take the fewest attempts in the league and only 27% of her assists come from made threes.
No need to sift through the clutter.
Just use the prop cheatsheet.