This weekend's NFL face-off between New Orleans and Tampa Bay is set to deliver some surprises, not the least of which will be Baker Mayfield's underperforming rush game.

The NFL season is heating up, and as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ready their ship to sail into New Orleans this Sunday, all eyes are on Baker Mayfield. The Bucs' starting quarterback and Heisman Trophy winner has had an uneven journey in the league, but this weekend, we're zoning in on a particular statistic: his rushing yards. 

Let's dive into the data. 

This season, Mayfield is averaging a lukewarm 10 rushing yards per game. Over the course of the season, he's only surpassed 13.5 rushing yards in one game so far and did it just times last season.But let's not stop there. Let's zoom out and examine the bigger picture. Taking a look at Mayfield's performance over the last 15 games, he's averaging 7.93 rushing yards. 

Now let's bring this back to Sunday's game. The last time Mayfield faced off against New Orleans, he averaged...wait for it... -1.0 rushing yards. 

So, with all this in mind, why are we picking the under for Baker Mayfield's rushing yards, where the line is set at 13.5? To put it simply, the numbers don't lie. Mayfield's performance has been consistently underwhelming in the rushing department, with trends pointing downwards and a poor track record against the Saints specifically. 

For those of us in the sports betting community, this smells like a golden opportunity. Sure, every game has its variables and unpredictabilities – that's the thrill of the game. But when the data speaks this loudly, it's hard not to listen. 

Official Play: Baker Mayfield u13.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 1u