Bank on Waller dipping below 4.5 receptions in the upcoming Giants-Seahawks showdown; the stats don't lie.
As we gear up for the Week 4 Monday Night Football clash between the New York Giants and the Seattle Seahawks, all eyes are on Giants' lead pass-catcher, Darren Waller. However, my call is that Waller's reception count will be an underwhelming under 4.5. This isn't a wild guess; it's a calculated inference built on a foundation of hard data.
Waller, who was brought in to spearhead the Giants' air attack, has had a sluggish start to the season. Netting only 12 catches on 20 targets for a mere 132 yards, his output has been anything but impressive. His Week 3 performance saw him limited to just 3 receptions and 20 yards. Yes, he did get a team-high 7 targets, but that's just not cutting it.
Taking a deeper dive into the statistics, the picture becomes even more clear. Waller is averaging 4 receptions this season, both at home and on the road. In fact, he's only managed to rack up more than 4.5 receptions two times in his last 11 games. That's not exactly what one would call a hot streak.
Now, you might be thinking, "But the Seahawks have a weak pass defense!" That's true. They rank 31st in the league, allowing an average of 328 passing yards per game. And yes, they have given up 100+ receiving yards to four receivers this season. But here's the kicker: Waller isn't your typical receiver. He often plays a hybrid receiver role for the Giants, and that requires Jones to have enough time in the pocket to make big plays. Given the current form of the Giants' offensive line, that's a big ask.
DK Network NFL Editor Chet Gresham has Waller ranked 4th in his weekly fantasy football rankings, behind T.J. Hockenson, Travis Kelce, and George Kittle. That's telling. The sports betting community respects data, and the data suggests that Waller going under 4.5 receptions is the smart play.
So, as we gear up for Monday Night Football, keep a keen eye on Darren Waller. He's a key player, no doubt, but the under 4.5 receptions is the data-driven play. Remember, in sports betting, it's all about playing the odds and making informed decisions. This Monday night, the data is telling us to expect Waller to come in under 4.5 receptions.
Bank on Waller dipping below 4.5 receptions in the upcoming Giants-Seahawks showdown; the stats don't lie.
As we gear up for the Week 4 Monday Night Football clash between the New York Giants and the Seattle Seahawks, all eyes are on Giants' lead pass-catcher, Darren Waller. However, my call is that Waller's reception count will be an underwhelming under 4.5. This isn't a wild guess; it's a calculated inference built on a foundation of hard data.
Waller, who was brought in to spearhead the Giants' air attack, has had a sluggish start to the season. Netting only 12 catches on 20 targets for a mere 132 yards, his output has been anything but impressive. His Week 3 performance saw him limited to just 3 receptions and 20 yards. Yes, he did get a team-high 7 targets, but that's just not cutting it.
Taking a deeper dive into the statistics, the picture becomes even more clear. Waller is averaging 4 receptions this season, both at home and on the road. In fact, he's only managed to rack up more than 4.5 receptions two times in his last 11 games. That's not exactly what one would call a hot streak.
Now, you might be thinking, "But the Seahawks have a weak pass defense!" That's true. They rank 31st in the league, allowing an average of 328 passing yards per game. And yes, they have given up 100+ receiving yards to four receivers this season. But here's the kicker: Waller isn't your typical receiver. He often plays a hybrid receiver role for the Giants, and that requires Jones to have enough time in the pocket to make big plays. Given the current form of the Giants' offensive line, that's a big ask.
DK Network NFL Editor Chet Gresham has Waller ranked 4th in his weekly fantasy football rankings, behind T.J. Hockenson, Travis Kelce, and George Kittle. That's telling. The sports betting community respects data, and the data suggests that Waller going under 4.5 receptions is the smart play.
So, as we gear up for Monday Night Football, keep a keen eye on Darren Waller. He's a key player, no doubt, but the under 4.5 receptions is the data-driven play. Remember, in sports betting, it's all about playing the odds and making informed decisions. This Monday night, the data is telling us to expect Waller to come in under 4.5 receptions.
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