We were one 3-pointer from Jabari Smith from cashing our builder parlay yesterday.  Smith only took 2 threes the whole game, so the volume just wasn't there. We take the L, but learn from it and move on.

We tried to look for games with the least blowout potential and were 3/4 there with only the Mavs Pelicans game getting out of hand. However, we are on the right side there picking Donic's assists. Let's build off this new knowledge and earn the coin tonight.

P: Caris LaVert +10 points

LaVert has 10+ points in 9 of 10 games this season overall. The 90% trend continues when we look at LaVert last 10 road games. However, what might by more appealing, is LaVert has hit this line in his last 4 games against Sacremento with 20+ points in each contest. With a -1 spread, we should get a close game where LaVert should get his minutes.

A: Jaylen Brown +2 assists

Brown is coming off a 5+ assisst game against the same Knicks team he faces tonight. In his last 10 games, Brown has hit +2 assists in 8 games - including 5 straight. At home Brown is also at an 80% hit rate and he has an 75% hit rate (6/8)  against the Knicks. If this game gets lopsided it should favor the Celtics, which helps Brown get us 2 helpers tonight.

R: Daniel Gafford +4 rebounds

Gafford has +4 rebound in every game this season and his lowest total in his last 10 games is 5. Gafford has also hit this line in 7 straight games againt the Raptors. On the road Gafford has hit +4 boards in 9 of his last games. Go hit the boards tonight Daniel!

T: RJ Barrett 1+ 3 pt

Drinking a little juice here, but the lines on 3s tonight are SHARP. Barrett has hit 1+ 3 in 9 of his last 10 games. Likewise, Barrett has hit this line in 8 straight games against the Celtics. Barret's hit rate drops to 7 out of 10 on the road, but with his history against the Celtics, I like his chances.

Parlayed together we are at -120 odd at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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