The upcoming NHL face-off between the Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames is set to witness a prolific performance from Joe Pavelski, as he's likely to surpass his prop of 1.5 shots on goal.

As we gear up for the exciting NHL showdown between the Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames, all eyes are on the Stars' veteran, Joe Pavelski. A key player who never fails to deliver, Pavelski is all set to make some noise in the rink, and there's a good chance he'll be firing more than 1.5 shots on goal in the anticipated game.

Diving into the data, Pavelski has been averaging 2.21 shots on goal this season. That's a strong stat, but it's the consistency that really catches the eye. He's been pretty much steady both home and away, averaging 2.18 and 2.23 shots respectively. This consistency is a testament to Pavelski's relentless drive and commitment to his craft, and it's why we're betting on him to deliver.

Now, if we're talking about recent form, Pavelski has had more than 1.5 shots on goal in 66 games this season, versus less than 1.5 in just 30. That's a solid two-thirds of the time that he's hitting above the mark. Over the last 20 games, he's averaging 1.85 shots on goal and has had more than 1.5 shots on goal in 12 games. Crunching the numbers further, even in his last 10 games, he's averaged 1.7 shots on goal and hit above the 1.5 mark in half of those games.

Sure, his recent shot averages have been on a downward trend over the last 10 and 5 games. But let's not panic. Trends are just that - trends. They're not destiny, and a player of Pavelski's caliber knows how to turn things around when it counts.

And now, let's zero in on Pavelski's track record against the Flames. In 3 games, he's averaging 1.67 shots on goal. That's above the line we're looking at and suggests that the Flames' defense brings out the sniper in Pavelski.

So, why are we confident that Pavelski will go over on his prop of 1.5 shots on goal against the Flames? Because he's done it in 9 of his last 10 games. Because he's been consistent all season long. Because when he squares off against the Flames, he tends to bring his A-game. And because he's Joe Pavelski - a player who knows how to rise to the occasion.

As we get ready for the puck to drop in Calgary, one thing's for sure - Pavelski is going to be a player to watch. Will he go over 1.5 shots on goal? The data seems to suggest so. But as always, the real answer will unfold on the ice. So grab your popcorn, folks, because this is going to be one heck of a show.