Jordan Poole's knack for nabbing steals makes him a prime pick for bettors eyeing the over on steals against the Miami Heat.

As the Wizards prepare to face off against the Miami Heat, all eyes are on Poole, with his recent performances suggesting that betting on him to pocket at least one steal tonight isn't just optimistic, it's backed by solid data.

Poole’s season average of 1.11 steals per game is impressive, but it's his recent uptick in performance that really seals the deal. Over the last 10 games, Poole has been on a tear, averaging 1.3 steals per game, with more than one steal in half of those outings. This isn't just a random spike; it's a trend that savvy bettors and fans should be clued into.

Diving deeper, Poole’s stats against the Miami Heat this season are nothing short of remarkable. Averaging 3 steals per game in head-to-head matchups is no small feat, especially considering the Heat's ball-handling skills. This statistic alone might have you thinking, "This guy’s got sticky fingers," and you wouldn't be wrong. Poole's defensive game steps up when facing Miami, making the over on steals tonight a bet worth considering.

Furthermore, it's essential to note Poole’s distinction in steal performance based on location. While he averages 1.0 steals at home, his road game is even sharper, with 1.21 steals per game. Since the Wizards are hitting the road for this matchup, bettors might find this nugget of information particularly enticing.

Analyzing the broader picture, Poole has recorded more than one steal in 21 games this season, showcasing his consistent ability to disrupt opponents' offenses. His performance over the last 20 games, where he's averaged 1.35 steals, indicates a player who is not just maintaining his defensive efforts but elevating them as the season progresses.

Yet, as with any bet, context is key. The Wizards have been through a rough patch, but Poole's individual performances, especially his defensive contributions, have been a silver lining. His durability and scoring ability, highlighted by an 87.5-percent career shooter from the foul line, complement his defensive stats, making him a well-rounded player who can impact the game on both ends of the court.

In conclusion, while betting in sports always carries its inherent uncertainties, diving into Jordan Poole's recent performances and his track record against the Miami Heat offers a compelling case for those looking to take the over on his steals tonight. With his upward trend in steals and standout performances in crucial games, Poole is not just a player to watch but a bet to consider seriously. As the Wizards and Heat clash, it's not just the points that matter but the steals that could tip the scales in your betting favor.