Naz Reid Over 16.5 Pts (-118 FD)

Reid has been a great spot up shooting big man for the Timberwolves, and he gets a great spot up matchup against the Bulls who are allowing the highest three-point frequency and 3rd highest catch & shoot frequency in the past 10 games. Without Anthony-Town playing, he is the clear cut three-point shooter on the team, averaging 7.6 attempts per game in his last 10 games. He’s taken 12+ field goal attempts in 8 of his last 10 games, and when he does this with 25+ minutes, he’s gone over this prop without KAT in 5 of 7 games. The Bulls are a team that truly does not care about defending the three well, as all their focus is on defending the paint. Against the bottom 20 spot up defenses with 25+ minutes and 12+ field goal attempts, he has gone over this prop in 9 of 11 games this season. KAT had played in this matchup back in early February where he made 7 threes. The potential is certainly there for Reid to do the same tonight. They are very focused on dominant ball handlers, allowing for a good amount of pick and pop opportunities. The dribble penetration of Anthony Edwards is going to open up a lot of three point looks, which could mean a possibility of a good scoring output from Jaden McDaniels as well tonight.

Corey Kispert Over 16.5 Pts (-122 FD)

Kispert has been getting very consistent minutes as of late, playing 27+ minutes in 11 of his last 15 games. Without Kuzma he has put up 16, 19 and 20 points this season when he plays 27+ minutes. Kispert gets to face one of the worst three-point defenses in the league in the Miami Heat who are allowing the 2nd highest catch & shoot frequency in the past 10 games and has the worst ranked spot up defense on the season. he’s taken 11+ field goal attempts in 6 of his last 8 games without Tyus Jones. When he takes 11+ field goal attempts and plays 27+ minutes, he has gone over this prop in 13 of 19 games this season. Then when you factor in a bottom 20 spot up defense, he’s gone over this prop in 11 of 14 games. This team is lacking a lot of depth which should allow him to play 30+ minutes tonight.