Miller has seen 15+ field goal attempts in 15 of his last 20 games. He get the Celtics matchup tonight and is the primary pullup shooter for the Hornets. When he sees 30+ minutes and 15+ field goal attempts, he’s gone over this prop in 23 of 34 games this season, including 9 of 13 games since the all-star break. Even against the top 15 spot up shooting defenses this season, he’s gone over this prop in 11 of 15 games. He has been blossoming into a three-level scorer since the mid part of the season. Miller has a nice wingspan that will be difficult to properly contest. He does a great job of using screens to get free up enough space to pull the trigger on threes. And with the drop coverage the Celtics play, it’ll be plenty of space from three or midrange. He has been solid off the dribble but for other players that rely solely on spot up shooting or driving to the rim will have a tough time scoring such as Vasilije Micic, who doesn’t really use pick & roll to pullup but rather get the rim and score off drives. In games of 30+ minutes, he's gone under htis prop in 9 of 12 games. 43% of his points have come at the rim this season and 32% of his points have come from free throws. The Celtics are allowing the lowest free throw attempt rate in the last 10 games. The Celtics are also allowing the 7th fewest field goals made inside the restricted area in the last 10 games. 33% of his attempts are inside the restricted area. With the Celtics playing drop coverage whether Horford or Porzingis playing, it will be tough to score. Only 15% of his attempts are midrange, which is where you want to attack the Celtics defense, and Brandon Miller takes the most of those shots for the Hornets, all in the past 10 games. Looking on the flip slide, The Hornets defense gives up a ton of spot up threes, which is how to attack them, and the perfect person to do that is Derrick White as that is where 45% of his attempts have come from in the past 10 games. In the past two games with the starting five, White has taken 9 and 11 field goal attempts. When he takes 9+ field goal attempts and plays 25+ minutes, he’s gone over this prop in 13 of 24 games. Now the Celtics will rest either Brown or Porzingis or both as they have to play four games this week. In games with starting five that are without Porzingis, he’s gone over in 20 of 34 games with 9+ field goal attempts, and in games without Brown but with the starting five, he’s gone over in 4 of 4. When Porzingis is OUT, he has greatly benefited from it scoring 20+ in all four games with rest of the starting five playing. The Hornets just allowed Paul George to shoot 8 of 12 from three, and he is one of the Clippers main spot up shooters. The Hornets are allowing the highest frequency of catch & shoot threes in the past 10 games. They have been trying to trap star players lately, which should be Tatum tonight, so shooters like White will greatly benefit from it.
Brandon Miller Over 18.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Vasilije Micic Under 12.5 Pts (-105 DK)
Derrick White Over 14.5 Pts (-105 BET365)
Miller has seen 15+ field goal attempts in 15 of his last 20 games. He get the Celtics matchup tonight and is the primary pullup shooter for the Hornets. When he sees 30+ minutes and 15+ field goal attempts, he’s gone over this prop in 23 of 34 games this season, including 9 of 13 games since the all-star break. Even against the top 15 spot up shooting defenses this season, he’s gone over this prop in 11 of 15 games. He has been blossoming into a three-level scorer since the mid part of the season. Miller has a nice wingspan that will be difficult to properly contest. He does a great job of using screens to get free up enough space to pull the trigger on threes. And with the drop coverage the Celtics play, it’ll be plenty of space from three or midrange. He has been solid off the dribble but for other players that rely solely on spot up shooting or driving to the rim will have a tough time scoring such as Vasilije Micic, who doesn’t really use pick & roll to pullup but rather get the rim and score off drives. In games of 30+ minutes, he's gone under htis prop in 9 of 12 games. 43% of his points have come at the rim this season and 32% of his points have come from free throws. The Celtics are allowing the lowest free throw attempt rate in the last 10 games. The Celtics are also allowing the 7th fewest field goals made inside the restricted area in the last 10 games. 33% of his attempts are inside the restricted area. With the Celtics playing drop coverage whether Horford or Porzingis playing, it will be tough to score. Only 15% of his attempts are midrange, which is where you want to attack the Celtics defense, and Brandon Miller takes the most of those shots for the Hornets, all in the past 10 games. Looking on the flip slide, The Hornets defense gives up a ton of spot up threes, which is how to attack them, and the perfect person to do that is Derrick White as that is where 45% of his attempts have come from in the past 10 games. In the past two games with the starting five, White has taken 9 and 11 field goal attempts. When he takes 9+ field goal attempts and plays 25+ minutes, he’s gone over this prop in 13 of 24 games. Now the Celtics will rest either Brown or Porzingis or both as they have to play four games this week. In games with starting five that are without Porzingis, he’s gone over in 20 of 34 games with 9+ field goal attempts, and in games without Brown but with the starting five, he’s gone over in 4 of 4. When Porzingis is OUT, he has greatly benefited from it scoring 20+ in all four games with rest of the starting five playing. The Hornets just allowed Paul George to shoot 8 of 12 from three, and he is one of the Clippers main spot up shooters. The Hornets are allowing the highest frequency of catch & shoot threes in the past 10 games. They have been trying to trap star players lately, which should be Tatum tonight, so shooters like White will greatly benefit from it.
Brandon Miller Over 18.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Vasilije Micic Under 12.5 Pts (-105 DK)
Derrick White Over 14.5 Pts (-105 BET365)
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