Last time Garland was without Mitchell he only took 6 field goal attempts, but the Jazz in that game went to go trap him, but only that but there were so many open shooters and easy cutting lanes to attack he literally did not need to shoot at all. This is a perfect spot for him to attack though because the only two teams that have been terrible against the three ball since the start of February is the Jazz and the Clippers. The Clippers are allowing the 5th most three-pointers made at the third highest percentage in the last 15 games. The Clippers rely on a lot of switch is the pick & roll but have defended it poorly lately and in turn they are giving up the 5th highest pullup three frequency and 4th most made in the past 10 games, which is Garland’s preferred shot selection. In the past 10 games, he’s taken slightly more pullup threes than pullup two’s, and in that time span the Clippers are allowing the 3rd fewest pullup two’s made, which can mean a bit of a tougher game for Caris LeVert who’s game is pullup two’s and getting to the rim. Looking at guards the last 10 games on drives versus the Clippers guys like Fox (3 of 11), Maxey (5 of 8.5 since he played two games), Oubre (1.5 of 5.5), Sexton (1 of 5) are all guys who like to get to the rim yet struggled some. The three ball is the area for the Cavaliers to attack tonight. In games with the starters (minus Mitchell) plus with LeVert playing, Garland has gone over this prop (Pts+Ast) in 4 of 6 games. In those four overs, he’s seen 12+ field goal attempts. LeVert will most likely come off the bench again. Looking at drives is important for LeVert because 5.1 of his 12 attempts per game this season comes from drives. In games when all the starters play without Mitchell and LeVert plays 25+ minutes he’s under this line (Pts) in 4 of 5 games, with the only over being against the Jazz who get killed on drives.


Darius Garland Over 25.5 PA (-108 FD)

Caris LeVert Under 14.5 Pts(-110 DK)