Steph Curry Over 31.5 Pts+Ast (-115 BET365)
Curry and the Warriors have a chance to win out the regular season and possibly move up to the 6th seed, meaning they clinch a playoff spot and not play-in spot. The first of these four games is the Lakers, who they can claim the tiebreaker from. Curry has torched the Lakers all season and with massive shot volume of 24+ attempts in all three games so far. We all know he loves his pullup three, and the Lakers are allowing the 3rd most pullup three attempts in the past 10 games. He is a very good finisher at the rim as well which we just simply can’t ignore. I mention that because last game they tried to go over screens and have the person defending the roll man step up to not give him easy pullup space, and he still blows by them for an easy layup. When Anthony Davis does play (got hurt early in their last matchup), he gives Curry too much space to pull off the pick & roll, which should allow for so many pullup threes. Curry has taken 18+ field goal attempts in 7 of his last 10 games along with 30+ minutes in 9 of his last 10 games. The pace of this game should allow for a lot of shots to go up tonight. When Curry takes 18+ attempts and plays 30+ minutes, he’s gone over this prop in 32 of 45 games this season. He has had 7, 8, and 5 assists in this matchup this season as well. This is probably a great game to ladder his points to at least 30+ tonight, which he’s done in all three games this season against the Lakers (currently +140 on BET365 and Fanduel).
PJ Washington Over 13.5 Pts (-102 FD)
Washington has been playing well these past four games since Lively has been out with an injury, scoring 14+ points in all four games on 11+ field goal attempts. He gets a great spot up shooting matchup against the Hornets who are allowing 2nd highest catch & shoot frequency and 2nd most catch & shoot threes made in the past 10 games. 51% of his attempts have been catch & shoot threes in his last 10 games. The Hornets play a lot of zone defense, and the quick passes they can make from guys like Luka and Kyrie will give him plenty of opportunities tonight. In his last four games he’s played 36+ minutes. They have a chance to lock up the divisional title tonight with a win and a Pelicans loss. Not only that but they will clinch a playoff spot tonight with a win tonight and a loss from either the Suns or Pelicans. This game has some importance and I expect the Mavericks to play like it. The Hornets just allowed the Thunder to shoot 18 of 36 from deep over the weekend. Their rotations have not been very good and have been focused on defending the paint and drives.
Grayson Allen Over 12.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Allen had a poor shooting output in his last game, shooting 3 of 10 from deep, but he was open or wide open on all ten three-point attempts (4+ feet of space). For one of the leagues most efficient three-point shooters, stuff like this won’t happen often and he gets a great matchup tonight to bounce back against the Clippers who are allowing the 7th most threes made in the past 15 games and 5th most since the start of February. This game is very important for both teams with playoff seeding implications but should mean a lot of attention on Booker and Durant. He’s had 8+ attempts in 8 of his last 10 games, along with 33+ minutes in 8 of his last 10 games as well. When he gets 33+ minutes and 8+ field goal attempts with the three starts, he's gone over this prop in 12 of 15 games, with two of those misses being to the Pelicans last week at 11 points. Only the Jazz have allowed a team to shoot a higher percentage from three since February and they are allowing the 5th highest percentage in the past 10 games, so we will continue to target shooters against the Clippers.
Steph Curry Over 31.5 Pts+Ast (-115 BET365)
Curry and the Warriors have a chance to win out the regular season and possibly move up to the 6th seed, meaning they clinch a playoff spot and not play-in spot. The first of these four games is the Lakers, who they can claim the tiebreaker from. Curry has torched the Lakers all season and with massive shot volume of 24+ attempts in all three games so far. We all know he loves his pullup three, and the Lakers are allowing the 3rd most pullup three attempts in the past 10 games. He is a very good finisher at the rim as well which we just simply can’t ignore. I mention that because last game they tried to go over screens and have the person defending the roll man step up to not give him easy pullup space, and he still blows by them for an easy layup. When Anthony Davis does play (got hurt early in their last matchup), he gives Curry too much space to pull off the pick & roll, which should allow for so many pullup threes. Curry has taken 18+ field goal attempts in 7 of his last 10 games along with 30+ minutes in 9 of his last 10 games. The pace of this game should allow for a lot of shots to go up tonight. When Curry takes 18+ attempts and plays 30+ minutes, he’s gone over this prop in 32 of 45 games this season. He has had 7, 8, and 5 assists in this matchup this season as well. This is probably a great game to ladder his points to at least 30+ tonight, which he’s done in all three games this season against the Lakers (currently +140 on BET365 and Fanduel).
PJ Washington Over 13.5 Pts (-102 FD)
Washington has been playing well these past four games since Lively has been out with an injury, scoring 14+ points in all four games on 11+ field goal attempts. He gets a great spot up shooting matchup against the Hornets who are allowing 2nd highest catch & shoot frequency and 2nd most catch & shoot threes made in the past 10 games. 51% of his attempts have been catch & shoot threes in his last 10 games. The Hornets play a lot of zone defense, and the quick passes they can make from guys like Luka and Kyrie will give him plenty of opportunities tonight. In his last four games he’s played 36+ minutes. They have a chance to lock up the divisional title tonight with a win and a Pelicans loss. Not only that but they will clinch a playoff spot tonight with a win tonight and a loss from either the Suns or Pelicans. This game has some importance and I expect the Mavericks to play like it. The Hornets just allowed the Thunder to shoot 18 of 36 from deep over the weekend. Their rotations have not been very good and have been focused on defending the paint and drives.
Grayson Allen Over 12.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Allen had a poor shooting output in his last game, shooting 3 of 10 from deep, but he was open or wide open on all ten three-point attempts (4+ feet of space). For one of the leagues most efficient three-point shooters, stuff like this won’t happen often and he gets a great matchup tonight to bounce back against the Clippers who are allowing the 7th most threes made in the past 15 games and 5th most since the start of February. This game is very important for both teams with playoff seeding implications but should mean a lot of attention on Booker and Durant. He’s had 8+ attempts in 8 of his last 10 games, along with 33+ minutes in 8 of his last 10 games as well. When he gets 33+ minutes and 8+ field goal attempts with the three starts, he's gone over this prop in 12 of 15 games, with two of those misses being to the Pelicans last week at 11 points. Only the Jazz have allowed a team to shoot a higher percentage from three since February and they are allowing the 5th highest percentage in the past 10 games, so we will continue to target shooters against the Clippers.
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