Welcome back gang! We are rolling with a total here in this one. Today's spot is Rangers/A's over 9 -135.
Really like this spot for both sides, especially the Rangers. The Rangers are 3rd in the MLB in OPS versus LHP, and they get JP Sears on the docket today. Sears has really struggled away from the friendly confines of the Coliseum. Also, Sears has had extreme walk issues. Against LHB, Sears has a 9.8% walk rate and a 7.5% away from home last year. Lastly, for Sears, the power struggles are real. Sears averaged about 1.8 Home runs per 9 last year, this Rangers offense last season had 50 homers off of LHP in about 1400 ABs.
The Oakland side, I don't hate this spot either. It is tough backing this team to do anything offensively, but we have seen a little bit of a pulse this series. Last game they got shoved on by Cody Bradford, which makes sense with the A's being the worst team in the MLB against LHP. Against Righties, they are not great, but do move up 7 spots in OPS. Jon Gray has been brutal so far this season, and we should expect him to be worse. So far this season, Gray has a 6.14 ERA, but is sitting at a 9.85 expected ERA. He has an expected batting average of almost .400, and a hard hit rate of almost 50%. I know the A's are not good, but we have seen some pop from guys like Gelof, Langeliers and Bleday. Lastly, Gray has had walk issues quite often these last 4 years, over 8% in 3 of them and last years almost 10%. I expect a lot of traffic from the A's in this one and for them to scratch across a few. Think 9 is a nice price for a spot with pitchers struggling early on in the season.
Welcome back gang! We are rolling with a total here in this one. Today's spot is Rangers/A's over 9 -135.
Really like this spot for both sides, especially the Rangers. The Rangers are 3rd in the MLB in OPS versus LHP, and they get JP Sears on the docket today. Sears has really struggled away from the friendly confines of the Coliseum. Also, Sears has had extreme walk issues. Against LHB, Sears has a 9.8% walk rate and a 7.5% away from home last year. Lastly, for Sears, the power struggles are real. Sears averaged about 1.8 Home runs per 9 last year, this Rangers offense last season had 50 homers off of LHP in about 1400 ABs.
The Oakland side, I don't hate this spot either. It is tough backing this team to do anything offensively, but we have seen a little bit of a pulse this series. Last game they got shoved on by Cody Bradford, which makes sense with the A's being the worst team in the MLB against LHP. Against Righties, they are not great, but do move up 7 spots in OPS. Jon Gray has been brutal so far this season, and we should expect him to be worse. So far this season, Gray has a 6.14 ERA, but is sitting at a 9.85 expected ERA. He has an expected batting average of almost .400, and a hard hit rate of almost 50%. I know the A's are not good, but we have seen some pop from guys like Gelof, Langeliers and Bleday. Lastly, Gray has had walk issues quite often these last 4 years, over 8% in 3 of them and last years almost 10%. I expect a lot of traffic from the A's in this one and for them to scratch across a few. Think 9 is a nice price for a spot with pitchers struggling early on in the season.
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