Pick #1: Lebron James Over 15.5 RA (-130 DK)

After a relatively expected and embarrassing game 1, I expect Lebron to have to shoulder a heavy load once again in another matchup I fully expect LA to lose. In game 1, Lebron was actually only 2 RA shy of hitting his over, ending with 14, and in the series against Denver last year, Bron hit this over in all 4 games (despite being swept). This current roster is nearly identical to the one LA used last year against Denver, and Denver roster is also basically the same. For those of you that watched game 1, you can probably easily identify the stinker who sort of shot the Lakers in a hole, Dlo. He shot a very stink 6-20 and 1-9 from 3. I expect him to potentially have far less ball possession and shot attempts, and for the Lakers to trust Lebron with a bigger load of possession or setting up plays. Dlo should still get 10-13 shots, but I expect them to be shots fed to him on the wings as opposed to him dribbling for 9 seconds and shooting a contested jumper. Should Lebron also start hot, Denver may opt to double him and force him to pass more for hopefully lobs or open shooters. I'm not gonna bother using any regular season stats for this one, as what I've learned from the past 4 playoffs is that all those defensive stats and such become useless once we hit late April.