Isaac Okoro Over 7.5 Pts (-120 DK)

Okoro had 11 field goal attempts in Game 1 and can see something similar tonight in usage tonight, especially since Jarrett Allen is unlikely to play in Game 2. In Game 1, Okoro’s primary defender was Al Horford which forced Okoro to test his confidence shooting as this allowed Horford to provide help defense in the paint. This allowed Tatum to be put on Mobley and then they could provide help defense in paint with Horford, which is why Tatum was able to get so many rebounds. But overall, you are not going to sag off Strus, Garland, or Mitchell, and with Allen out, this puts Mobley mainly in the paint as a nonexistent three-point threat.  6 of Okoro’s 11 attempts were against Horford and all 6 of those attempts were threes, making three of them. I expect a similar approach this game as the Celtics want to cut off those driving lanes and dare a team struggling to shoot threes for 7 straight games going into the series to continue to dare them to beat them shooting. He had 6 attempts that were considered wide open (6+ feet of space from nearest defender). He is shooting 28% from three in the postseason but was a 39% shooter in the regular season. Look for Al Horford and the Celtics to continue to leave him open.

Josh Giddey Under 17.5 PRA (-111 FD)

Giddey looked like a traffic cone out there in Game 1 and with both teams being switch heavy, this looks like a series where he will get played off the court. The Mavericks have a lot of athletic players, and they want to hunt switches, so putting guys like Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, and Isaiah Joe who can better match the switching and provide not only on ball defense but better floor spacing makes a lot of sense here for this series and it showed in the stat sheets. When Giddey was on the court, his plus/minus was a negative seven in 17 minutes, but when he was off the court, it was a plus 29 in 31 minutes. Luka was struggling to score and the trend of a shooting slump from three continues from last series.