With the defending champions heavily favored, let’s look towards player props to find value for the Dodgers-Cardinals NL Wild Card game.
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Since joining the Dodgers at the trade deadline, Max Scherzer has been exceptional. In his first nine appearances, Scherzer allowed a combined five earned runs, including a five-game streak where he shut out opponents over 36.2 innings with 48 strikeouts. However, he has given up five runs in each of his last two starts (Colorado and San Diego).
Throughout every Pine data point, Scherzer has never given up five earned runs in consecutive starts. In starts following five earned runs allowed, Scherzer has allowed four runs three times and has had only one shut out.
Compared to Colorado and San Diego, St. Louis has a higher OPS and runs per game average while matching both at around eight and a half hits per game. The Cardinals' trending OPS is about 50 points lower than their September average and slightly behind Colorado’s.
In September games which the Cardinals either won or lost by two or fewer runs, Paul Goldschmidt, Tommy Edman, Tyler O’Neill, Harrison Bader, and Dylan Carlson have been the Cardinals’ top hitters in both hits per game and OPS.
In their careers against Scherzer, only Edman has an average above the Mendoza line. Edman has four hits in nine at-bats facing Scherzer, including a double, a homer, and a 1.389 OPS.
While I ultimately think the Dodgers will win, I think the Cardinals should be able to scrape together a couple of runs. When bouncing back from a tough start, Scherzer has still been hittable and the Cardinals are a better trending offensive team than the Rockies or Padres.
The Slip:
Scherzer Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Tommy Edman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) - Lock It In Challenge Pick
With the defending champions heavily favored, let’s look towards player props to find value for the Dodgers-Cardinals NL Wild Card game.
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Since joining the Dodgers at the trade deadline, Max Scherzer has been exceptional. In his first nine appearances, Scherzer allowed a combined five earned runs, including a five-game streak where he shut out opponents over 36.2 innings with 48 strikeouts. However, he has given up five runs in each of his last two starts (Colorado and San Diego).
Throughout every Pine data point, Scherzer has never given up five earned runs in consecutive starts. In starts following five earned runs allowed, Scherzer has allowed four runs three times and has had only one shut out.
Compared to Colorado and San Diego, St. Louis has a higher OPS and runs per game average while matching both at around eight and a half hits per game. The Cardinals' trending OPS is about 50 points lower than their September average and slightly behind Colorado’s.
In September games which the Cardinals either won or lost by two or fewer runs, Paul Goldschmidt, Tommy Edman, Tyler O’Neill, Harrison Bader, and Dylan Carlson have been the Cardinals’ top hitters in both hits per game and OPS.
In their careers against Scherzer, only Edman has an average above the Mendoza line. Edman has four hits in nine at-bats facing Scherzer, including a double, a homer, and a 1.389 OPS.
While I ultimately think the Dodgers will win, I think the Cardinals should be able to scrape together a couple of runs. When bouncing back from a tough start, Scherzer has still been hittable and the Cardinals are a better trending offensive team than the Rockies or Padres.
The Slip:
Scherzer Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Tommy Edman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) - Lock It In Challenge Pick
No need to sift through the clutter.
Just use the prop cheatsheet.