Bridget Carleton Over 2.5 3PM (+102 FD)

We are going back to Carleton tonight as we played her points prop in her latest game, but now we are attacking the threes prop. 82% of her attempts come from the perimeter and in both games against the Sparks she’s made 3+ threes. Since the start of June, they have allowed the most three pointers made per game to opposing teams with the 5th most three-point attempts allowed. The Sparks are one of the worst pick & roll defenses in the league and play a lot of drop coverage. She isn’t typically involved in the pick & roll action, but I mention it because she is usually one pass away and the Sparks help defenders help off the pick & roll one pass away. This is where she has cleaned up with good looks from three in previous matchups against them. With Napheesa Collier getting hurt two games ago, this has allowed her usage to skyrocket and get good minutes as she’s played 30+ minutes in back-to-back games. When she see’s 30+ minutes, she has gone over this pro in 7 of 11 games this season. Carleton has taken 6 and 8 three-point attempts in these past two games. When she does that while playing 30+ minutes, she’s gone over this prop in all four games. As long as she continues to get volume, this prop at plus money should not be a thing in my opinion against a defense that is willing to help off drives and leave shooters with space.