Just messing around with the data and some props when they show up.
Tonight will try out by taking Julius Randle as the top point scorer at +350.
Methodology (I'll figure out image adding later - just want to get some of this on paper)
- Other than LeBron James he scored the most points against the matchup team in previous year (I know 'mean' might be a better view than 'sum', but am testing)
- Not all players were available from each team and based on average points per game this year, he was next to the top behind Steph (I wouldnt take at -450) and LeBron (who might not play tonight)
- He plays a ton of minutes and takes a ton of shots, NY and PHI are neck and neck in the division yet NY is in 4th with PHI at 8th in the conference.
- Lastly looking at ESPN Rating for the year (Nikola wasn't an option and prob not worth the pick like Curry at -450) he's the next man up that's playing tonight.
Any ideas or suggestions at combing data sets I'm all ears.
dmagdale
Just messing around with the data and some props when they show up.
Tonight will try out by taking Julius Randle as the top point scorer at +350.
Methodology (I'll figure out image adding later - just want to get some of this on paper)
Any ideas or suggestions at combing data sets I'm all ears.
Win your way.
Your AI model belongs to you.
The odds seem pretty good for this. Randle has been doing well this season, averaging just below Steph. Looking at the player props, Steph is at 33.5, Luka is at 28.5, Donovan Mitchell is at 26.5, AD is at 25.5, Randle is at 23.5, and Shai is at 21.5. In terms of their averages this season (not too many games though), Randle is second only to Steph, and has had some big games already.
This bet does not seem too bad at +350. I'm also liking the over for Randle's points (23.5) and rebounds (8.5).
The fine print doesn't contain much but my bet ticket has me to believe you are getting the 25% boost to bet on who will be the top point scorer of that specific game, not of the whole night...
"You've been credited with a 25% Profit Boost for a Top Point Scorer bet on any 10/26 NBA game. "