Pick 3: I'm liking the over (@213.5) on tonight's game between the Celtics and the Heat.

Here's why:

The Celtics have scored, on average this season, 111 points and given up 114. The Heat have scored 115 points and given up almost 99 points. That gives us an opponent score total for the two teams of 213. No surprise that the line is at 213.5, so the question is do we see performance that's above or below average tonight from these teams. Let's look to the trends below.

Miami's three point percentage is trending up in a big way and I like that going into tonight's game. That shows me they're ready to score points and are well poised to do it. The Celtics have been trending down but the downtrend isn't huge. So I'm comfortable saying that worst case we'll see the Celtics perform at their average this season for three pointers.

We see the same trend for field goal percentages. Miami has a huge up-trend that I think will skew the average number of points they've scored this season. The Celtics also have plateaued. Overall, I like the over tonight based on these core performance data. Let's see what happens.