Brionna Jones Over 13.5 Pts (-115 FD)
These two teams just faced one another the other day and it was a game where she scored 26 points, but she did get 13 free throw attempts. She has gone over this line in both games with 13 attempts apiece. Most of her scoring is in the paint and since the return from the break, the Storm have allowed the 2nd most points in the paint only behind the tanking Sparks. This season the Storm have the 4th best defensive rating at 94.5 but since the return, they’ve had a defensive rating of 104.5 which puts them at the 4th worst mark. Going back to Jones, she scores about 83% of her points in the paint and 26% of her scoring type is off of post up plays where the Storm are ranked as a bottom 3 team this season. when she has faced the bottom 6 in points in the paint allowed on the season, she has gone over this line in 11 of 17 games this season. then, when you tack on a bottom 6 post up defense, she has gone over this line in 6 of 7 games this season.
Chennedy Carter Over 18.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Carter should be back today after a few games off from Covid protocols and has a great matchup today against the Aces whose defense is uncomfortable and reeling as they prepare for their playoff push. Carter has faced the Aces three times this season and has gone over this line in all three games. The biggest thing of those games that stick out to me is her shot usage in which she has taken 20+ field goal attempts in all three games. In games of 15+ field goal attempts, she has gone over in 10 of 13 games this season. Carter does a great job of getting to her spots whether its in the paint or in the midrange, and the Aces have had zero answers for her. For a team trying to make the playoffs (tied with Dream but have tie breaker lead), they’ll need her to put up shots tonight.
Tina Charles Over 10.5 Reb (-122 FD)
Since the return from the break, she has gone over this line in 4 of 7 games and gets to face one of the worst rebounding teams in the league. In the past 10 games the Mercury are allowing the 3rd most rebounds per game and the 4th most rebounds allowed since the break. In this matchup she has had 13+ rebounds in 2 of the three games. All the games have finished within 10 points and with a 1.5 spread we hopefully don’t have a blowout like a Collier prop last time. Both Parker-Tyus and Powers look to be OUT tonight and when they do not play, she has gone over this line in she’s gone over in 4 of 7 games but when they don’t play and she is facing a bottom 6 rebounding team, she has gone over in all three games and has had 13+ rebounds in all three (average 15.7 per game).
Brionna Jones Over 13.5 Pts (-115 FD)
These two teams just faced one another the other day and it was a game where she scored 26 points, but she did get 13 free throw attempts. She has gone over this line in both games with 13 attempts apiece. Most of her scoring is in the paint and since the return from the break, the Storm have allowed the 2nd most points in the paint only behind the tanking Sparks. This season the Storm have the 4th best defensive rating at 94.5 but since the return, they’ve had a defensive rating of 104.5 which puts them at the 4th worst mark. Going back to Jones, she scores about 83% of her points in the paint and 26% of her scoring type is off of post up plays where the Storm are ranked as a bottom 3 team this season. when she has faced the bottom 6 in points in the paint allowed on the season, she has gone over this line in 11 of 17 games this season. then, when you tack on a bottom 6 post up defense, she has gone over this line in 6 of 7 games this season.
Chennedy Carter Over 18.5 Pts (-120 FD)
Carter should be back today after a few games off from Covid protocols and has a great matchup today against the Aces whose defense is uncomfortable and reeling as they prepare for their playoff push. Carter has faced the Aces three times this season and has gone over this line in all three games. The biggest thing of those games that stick out to me is her shot usage in which she has taken 20+ field goal attempts in all three games. In games of 15+ field goal attempts, she has gone over in 10 of 13 games this season. Carter does a great job of getting to her spots whether its in the paint or in the midrange, and the Aces have had zero answers for her. For a team trying to make the playoffs (tied with Dream but have tie breaker lead), they’ll need her to put up shots tonight.
Tina Charles Over 10.5 Reb (-122 FD)
Since the return from the break, she has gone over this line in 4 of 7 games and gets to face one of the worst rebounding teams in the league. In the past 10 games the Mercury are allowing the 3rd most rebounds per game and the 4th most rebounds allowed since the break. In this matchup she has had 13+ rebounds in 2 of the three games. All the games have finished within 10 points and with a 1.5 spread we hopefully don’t have a blowout like a Collier prop last time. Both Parker-Tyus and Powers look to be OUT tonight and when they do not play, she has gone over this line in she’s gone over in 4 of 7 games but when they don’t play and she is facing a bottom 6 rebounding team, she has gone over in all three games and has had 13+ rebounds in all three (average 15.7 per game).
No need to sift through the clutter.
Just use the prop cheatsheet.