Alright, let’s dive into the top 5 Shots On Goal (SOG) props for tonight’s NHL games. I’ve analyzed the stats, trends, and projections to bring you the best picks. Each recommendation is backed by data and insights, so let’s get into it!


1. Connor McMichael - Over 1.5 Shots On Goal

Connor McMichael of the Washington Capitals is a strong pick for tonight. His line is set at 1.5 SOG, and the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 1.88 SOG, favoring the over.

  • Season Hit Rate: 65% (26 of 40 games)
  • Home Hit Rate: 75% (3.1 SOG average at home)
  • Opponent DVP: Vancouver’s defense is 29.2% better than average against SOG, but McMichael’s consistency at home makes this a solid play.

You can grab the over at -145 on ESPN BET. Check out more details on Connor McMichael’s prop here.


2. Quinn Hughes - Over 2.5 Shots On Goal

Quinn Hughes of the Vancouver Canucks is another standout pick. His line is set at 2.5 SOG, and the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 2.65 SOG, favoring the over.

  • Season Hit Rate: 54.3% (19 of 35 games)
  • Recent Form: 50% hit rate in his last 10 games, averaging 3.0 SOG.
  • Opponent DVP: Washington’s defense is slightly below average against SOG, which could work in Hughes’ favor.

The over is available at -122 on ESPN BET. For more stats, check out Quinn Hughes’ prop here.


3. Clayton Keller - Over 2.5 Shots On Goal

Clayton Keller of the Utah Hockey Club is in great form heading into tonight’s game. His line is set at 2.5 SOG, and the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 2.66 SOG, favoring the over.

  • Season Hit Rate: 52.6% (20 of 38 games)
  • Recent Form: 60% hit rate in his last 10 games, averaging 3.3 SOG.
  • Opponent DVP: Florida’s defense is slightly below average against SOG.

The over is priced at -114 on FanDuel. Dive deeper into Clayton Keller’s prop here.


4. Ross Colton - Over 1.5 Shots On Goal

Ross Colton of the Colorado Avalanche is a fantastic value pick tonight. His line is set at 1.5 SOG, and the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 2.07 SOG, favoring the over.

  • Season Hit Rate: 75% (18 of 24 games)
  • VS Opponent: Colton has hit 3 SOG in his only game against Chicago this season.
  • Opponent DVP: Chicago’s defense is 8.1% worse than average against SOG, making this a favorable matchup.

The over is available at -200 on ESPN BET. Check out Ross Colton’s prop here.


5. Nick Schmaltz - Over 1.5 Shots On Goal

Nick Schmaltz of the Utah Hockey Club rounds out the top 5. His line is set at 1.5 SOG, and the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 1.99 SOG, favoring the over.

  • Season Hit Rate: 59% (23 of 39 games)
  • Home Hit Rate: 75% (2.5 SOG average at home).
  • Opponent DVP: Florida’s defense is 14% worse than average against SOG.

The over is priced at -185 on ESPN BET. For more details, check out Nick Schmaltz’s prop here.


These are my top 5 SOG props for tonight’s NHL action. Each pick is backed by strong data and trends, so feel free to explore these options further. Let me know if you have any questions or need more recommendations!