Alright, let’s dive into the top 5 NBA player props for today, January 29, 2025. I’ve analyzed the data, reviewed the trends, and picked out the best props that stand out based on performance, matchups, and projections. Here’s what I’ve got for you:


1. Stephen Curry - Three Points Made - Over 3.5 (-270 at Caesars)

Stephen Curry is always a sharpshooter, but tonight’s matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder makes this prop particularly enticing. Curry has hit the Over on this line in 65% of his last 20 games and 70% of his last 10 games. Against the Thunder, he’s been even better, averaging 7.0 three-pointers in their last meeting.

The Thunder’s defense against three-point shooters (DVP: -7.45%) suggests they’re tough, but Curry’s home performance (73.68% hit rate) and Pine Sports’ AI projection of 4.17 three-pointers made this a strong pick. With Golden State playing at home and Curry’s consistency, I’m confident he’ll clear this line.


2. Nikola Jokic - Assists - Over 9.5 (-136 at FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic is a triple-double machine, and his assist numbers have been stellar recently. Over his last 5 games, Jokic has averaged 12.4 assists, hitting the Over on this line 100% of the time. Even in his last 10 games, he’s maintained a 90% hit rate.

Tonight, he faces the New York Knicks, who have a slightly below-average defense against centers in terms of assists (DVP: +1.07%). Pine Sports projects Jokic at 9.58 assists, and with his recent form, I expect him to surpass this line comfortably.


3. Kristaps Porzingis - Three Points Made - Over 1.5 (-165 at BetMGM)

Porzingis has been on fire from beyond the arc, especially at home. He’s hit the Over on this line in 80% of his last 10 games and 100% of his last 5 games. Against the Chicago Bulls, he’s been perfect, hitting this line in all three matchups this season.

The Bulls’ defense against three-point shooters (DVP: +6.06%) is one of the worst in the league, making this a favorable matchup. With Pine Sports projecting him at 2.18 three-pointers, Porzingis is a great bet to hit at least two tonight.


4. De’Aaron Fox - Assists - Over 4.5 (-155 at BetMGM)

De’Aaron Fox has been a playmaking force for the Sacramento Kings, especially in recent games. Over his last 5 games, he’s averaged 7.0 assists, hitting the Over on this line 80% of the time. Even over his last 20 games, he’s maintained an 80% hit rate.

Tonight, he faces the Philadelphia 76ers, who are coming off a back-to-back and missing Joel Embiid. The 76ers’ defense against point guards (DVP: +2.34%) is slightly below average, and Pine Sports projects Fox at 5.33 assists. With his recent form and the matchup, this is a solid pick.


5. Jaime Jaquez Jr. - Points - Over 8.5 (-125 at ESPN BET)

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been stepping up for the Miami Heat, especially in recent games. Over his last 10 games, he’s averaged 11.6 points, hitting the Over on this line 80% of the time. Even in his last 5 games, he’s maintained a 60% hit rate.

Tonight, he faces the Cleveland Cavaliers, who have a strong defense (DVP: -2.55%), but Jaquez’s recent form and Pine Sports’ projection of 9.53 points make this a good value play. With Miami relying on him for scoring, I expect him to clear this line.