Pick 7: Reds v Brewers O9.5 (-110 MGM)

I’ll say this quickly. Tail this pick responsibly. I have been working on my models but they’re not where I want them to be yet. I’ve got a bit of data to back up this pick but it’s -110 for a reason.

If you look at the pitchers for the two teams they’re definitely a little… skewed. I really think the Brewers come out strong and get out to an early lead against this reds pitcher.

I’ll throw this in too.

If you look at the trend lines for these two teams, we can see that a few series back, they both had a bit of a slump. I’m hearing things about the baseballs being returned to their old ones, which should allow us to see an increase in XBH and HRs.

Thanks for reading and good luck on your bets!

PS. Here’s some data from the last games.