Jayson Tatum OVER 34.5 Points + Assists -130

The Numbers: Tatum has hit this in 5 of 9 games this postseason and 3/5 in this series.so we are looking at close to 60% hit rate in a game where the ball will be in his hands a majority of the time. He’s averaging over 40mpg and he’s coming off his second highest USG rate in the postseason. Averaging 11.4 Potential Assists per game for the series. Marcus Smart is going to be tasked with keeping Jrue Holiday in check so we should see more Tatum running the offense.

 

Adjustments: Biggest change in Game 6 has to be if Rob Williams plays. He’s currently listed as questionable after missing 2 games and we’re told the swelling has gone down. I think he plays and offers rim protection, but not much else. If you’re Boston, your game plan in Game 5 was successful, you just collapsed down the stretch and the ball needs to be in Jayson Tatum’s hands in those last two possessions: not Smart. I still stand by the fact that the Bucks lack a true perimeter wing defender outside of Pat Connaughton.