Last night, we went 3 for 3 on Thrive Fantasy picks and the Dallas Mavericks stayed alive for another day. It's a new day so that means more locks and more opportunities to make money at Thrive Fantasy. We have an intense series between the Celtics and Heat on deck so let's get into it. 

Celtics PG Marcus Smart: Over 5.5 Assists (80 Thrive Points)

Love or hate him, Marcus Smart is the heart and soul of this Celtics team and by far the safest bet on tonight's lineup. Smart is fifth in Assists per game in the playoffs and is averaging 7 over his past ten games. This includes a game three where he twisted his ankle and still accumulated 7 assists. Now this bet is entirely dependent on if he plays tonight, but if he does I'm hammering the over immediately. Here's the assist leaders of all remaining playoff participants.





Heat C Bam Adebayo: Under 29.5 PAR (95 Thrive Points)


Bam Adebayo has had a rough series against the Boston Celtics so far. He's only averaging 14 points per game, 7 rebounds and barely 4 assists. In the past six games he's only had over 30 PAR once. In seven regular and postseason games against Boston, he's averaging 25 PAR and has only gotten over 30 PAR twice. With injuries up and down the Heat lineup, I think a lot of attention will be paid to Adebayo.

Celtics C Robert Williams III: Under 9.5 Rebounds (90 Thrive Points)


I was going to go with an upset here but this is too good to not have here. Robert Williams is not going to get 10 rebounds tonight. Pine Sports own AI is giving this a 94% CHANCE OF HITTING THE UNDER. Never in my entire career here at Pine have I seen this level of confidence from our AI model. It's a combination that Williams has not had more than 10 rebounds in his past fifteen games. In that same span, he has only hit double digits rebounds twice in that span. In previous articles, I've touched on how tough it is to get boards against Miami and I don't see that changing, especially now that they are fully healthy.