Aaron Ashby doesn't throw a whole lot of pitches but he does strike out players. The Padres will put out a lineup that strikes out 25% of the time. So I'll take the alt line of 3ks here with Ashby. Before last start he had 8,3,3,6 ks in the last 4 starts. Give me that. The other portion of my play will be the Padres ML. They will have to face Ashby for a few innings and then face a MIL bullpen who's not at full strength with Hader gone and Williams who pitched last night. The Padres at home are also an unstoppable force. 

THE PLAY

Ashby 3ks & Padres ML (+140)