Howdy folks, we have a huge weekend of sports ahead of us with the Finals, Playoff hockey and more. It all kicks off with tonight's Game Four in Boston but before we get into that, let's talk numbers. This column has gone 8-3 in the past week, an incredible total considering how unpredictable sports have been recently. That could've been 9-2 had Draymond Green not fouled out with two assists left to hit but alas. This is all thanks to Pine's tools that are incredibly easy to use. The point is if you aren't using them, you are missing out on big money, especially on Thrive Fantasy. Anyways let's get picking.
Celtics F Jayson Tatum: Under 40.5 PAR (100 Thrive Points)
The St.Louis product is having kind of a disappointing Finals. His scoring numbers have dropped to 22 PPG and his rebounds has dropped to 5.7. However his passing numbers are through the roof, averaging 8 dimes a game. He had 26 on Wednesday but it was wildly inefficient going 9-23 from the field and 3-9 from 3. His assists and volume are keeping his stats decent looking and they took advantage of Curry and Green being in foul trouble most of the game. However given all of that, he has only hit that 40.5 line once this series. With his shooting being in 30% region from the field, I don't see him hitting it. Kerr is incredible at adjusting (the Warriors are undefeated in the playoffs after a loss), and his #1 move will be to take away Tatum.
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Warriors C Kevon Looney: Over 10.5 Rebounds+Assists (85 Thrive Points)
We're going back to the Looney bin on this one. Looney is averaging 13.5 RA over his past ten games and is averaging 11 in the series. This is all in spite of the fact that he is averaging just over 21 MPG. Golden State loves going small but last game it quite simply didn't work. With no interior paint presence and Draymond Green playing awful, Golden State was punished defensively. I think Kerr will adjust and Looney will get more run like in the Memphis series. Even if Looney doesn't hit 25 minutes, I believe he will hit that 10.5 line. Here's the leaders in playoff RA among finals participants.
Celtics C Al Horford: Under 12.5 Points (90 Thrive Points)
Finally, it's time for our AI pick of the day. It comes courtesy of yet ANOTHER Celtics center. No it's not Rob Will, it's old man Horford. His line of 12.5 points is absurd according to the Pine Robot, who gives this an 85% shot of going under.
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Yes, his average of 10.4 points is concerning but it is heavily buoyed by his breakout performances in Miami and during game one. In fact, barring these outliers that average drops to under 6 points. 2 out of 3 of those breakout games came with Robert Williams out of the lineup or playing under 24 minutes. When Robert Williams is playing, Horford's scoring role shrinks heavily as they have to share paint looks. Robert Williams has been trending healthier as the Finals have progressed, playing a Finals-high 26 minutes Wednesday. With a healthy Rob Will and some bad offfensive numbers, im going under here.
Howdy folks, we have a huge weekend of sports ahead of us with the Finals, Playoff hockey and more. It all kicks off with tonight's Game Four in Boston but before we get into that, let's talk numbers. This column has gone 8-3 in the past week, an incredible total considering how unpredictable sports have been recently. That could've been 9-2 had Draymond Green not fouled out with two assists left to hit but alas. This is all thanks to Pine's tools that are incredibly easy to use. The point is if you aren't using them, you are missing out on big money, especially on Thrive Fantasy. Anyways let's get picking.
Celtics F Jayson Tatum: Under 40.5 PAR (100 Thrive Points)
The St.Louis product is having kind of a disappointing Finals. His scoring numbers have dropped to 22 PPG and his rebounds has dropped to 5.7. However his passing numbers are through the roof, averaging 8 dimes a game. He had 26 on Wednesday but it was wildly inefficient going 9-23 from the field and 3-9 from 3. His assists and volume are keeping his stats decent looking and they took advantage of Curry and Green being in foul trouble most of the game. However given all of that, he has only hit that 40.5 line once this series. With his shooting being in 30% region from the field, I don't see him hitting it. Kerr is incredible at adjusting (the Warriors are undefeated in the playoffs after a loss), and his #1 move will be to take away Tatum.
Warriors C Kevon Looney: Over 10.5 Rebounds+Assists (85 Thrive Points)
We're going back to the Looney bin on this one. Looney is averaging 13.5 RA over his past ten games and is averaging 11 in the series. This is all in spite of the fact that he is averaging just over 21 MPG. Golden State loves going small but last game it quite simply didn't work. With no interior paint presence and Draymond Green playing awful, Golden State was punished defensively. I think Kerr will adjust and Looney will get more run like in the Memphis series. Even if Looney doesn't hit 25 minutes, I believe he will hit that 10.5 line. Here's the leaders in playoff RA among finals participants.
Celtics C Al Horford: Under 12.5 Points (90 Thrive Points)
Finally, it's time for our AI pick of the day. It comes courtesy of yet ANOTHER Celtics center. No it's not Rob Will, it's old man Horford. His line of 12.5 points is absurd according to the Pine Robot, who gives this an 85% shot of going under.
Yes, his average of 10.4 points is concerning but it is heavily buoyed by his breakout performances in Miami and during game one. In fact, barring these outliers that average drops to under 6 points. 2 out of 3 of those breakout games came with Robert Williams out of the lineup or playing under 24 minutes. When Robert Williams is playing, Horford's scoring role shrinks heavily as they have to share paint looks. Robert Williams has been trending healthier as the Finals have progressed, playing a Finals-high 26 minutes Wednesday. With a healthy Rob Will and some bad offfensive numbers, im going under here.
No need to sift through the clutter.
Just use the prop cheatsheet.