Good day yestreday, 4 out of 5 matches green and 2 out of 3 plays. All is recorded in my stats. Also posting those picks on Twitter – and I am surprised, that not many analysts have transparent stats on their profile – they chose only good days which they pin to their profile. That is sign that they are not that succesful! Watch out for this. My record is now 48-36, +51,55 units and ROI 18,9% (detail in Twitter profile)

Today's pick –Haerteis – Jong. Jong @ 2,1. 3/5

Event: Metzingen future, Germany. 17,45CET

On the clay in Germany, local 26yrs old Haerteis plays with 22yrs old Jong from Netherland. I really do not trust Haerteis. He won 2 matches in a row for the first time since Trimbach in March on the carpet. Since then his record on clay is 4-9. In July he lost to Wiskand and here he needed 3 sets to defeat – Gavrielides 76 in 3rd set and 64,16,63 Friberg. However points on return were 39-29 in Fribergs favor. Also he had 11bp and converted 5 (in 2 matches he lost his serve 8x from 20 and that is too much) It does not seem as big form

Jong is TCU player and in top 100 in ITA ranking. His record this year was 24-6. Now in Europe he defeated Mayor in Amersfoort (and lost to Van Ascche) Here he did get through qualies, then he defeated in tough match Hampe and in 2nd round pretty good Handel 63,67,63. But he lost hi serve only once from 4bp.

Here I trust Jong – he is good player and Haerteis is currently not so strong, especially on clay

This week I am taking break from tournaments but maybe again next week I will go somewhere. In meantime you can follow me on my Twitter

My long term record:

684-667

ROI

18,3%

Last 12months

283-313

19,0%