Pick 1: Result of First Pitch bottom of the first inning taken strike/swinging strike/foul (-135) FD

Tommy Pham has a 28.7% K rate which is extremely high and bodes well for our bet. 

Looking at Fstrike% for Lyles here we can see an 82.2% which is not very high, but with a SwStrk% of 9.2% along with some other stats below I like this spot a lot.

Looking at Lyles’ pitch frequency we can see that v righty’s he throws his slider 37.43% of the time, and v a slider in the same picture, Pham has a 39.13% whiff rate this season against that pitch v a righty pitcher. He does have a contact% of 60.87 against that same pitch which does worry me slightly, but we only need the first pitch to be a strike, after that as far as the wager is concerned, doesn’t matter.

Thanks for reading and good luck on your bets!