Dejounte Murray Over 20.5 Pts
Murray is averaging 21.5 points per game and has a phenomenal matchup against the Celtics, who allow 2nd most points per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards this season. And not only that, but when you look at his shot frequencies, you see how 41% of his shots are pullups, which Boston allows the 2nd most field goals made. 28% of his shot attempts are midrange, and Boston allows the most field goals made midrange to guards. Boston allows 3rd most points to ball handlers and 41% of his points come from being a handler for play types. His 2nd highest shot frequency is above the break threes, which Boston allows the 2nd most to guards as well. No Marcus Smart to worry about and driving guards have been feasting against Boston.
Steph Curry Under 6 Reb
Curry is averaging 6.6 rebounds on 10.4 Reb chances, which is a high efficiency and today he gets to face the Suns who allow the 4th least rebounds to Point Guards and 12th least opponent rebounds per game. 55% of his rebounds come from three point misses and the Suns have the 11th lowest three point rate this season and 10th highest three point percentage.
Terry Rozier Over 2.5 Threes
Terry has hit this line in five out of eight games this season averaging 3.3 threes made and 9.8 attempts per game. He has gone over ½ times this season with LaMelo playing averaging 2.5 threes made and 7.5 attempts. 35% of his shots come from above the break three and Pacers allow the most field goals made of the break against guards. Pacers allow the 3rd most threes made per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards this season. 25% of his points are catch & shoot, which are all three point attempts as well, and Pacers allow the 3rd most catch & shoot threes. First game with LaMelo, he made 4 threes against Miami, and they allowed the 2nd most, and last game against Orlando, he made none, but they allowed the 8th most. Indiana is 6th worst vs spot up shooters being at the 13.8 percentile, while Terry has been a good spot up shooter this year. Pacers play at third fastest pace and could mean lots of shot attempts go up tonight. Vegas is giving this game the highest point total today at 233.5.
Zach Lavine Under 4 Reb (Underdog, ParlayPlay)
Lavine has gone under this line in 7/10 games this season and is facing the Pelicans who all the least rebounds per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards and allow the 7th least opponent rebounds. They have good length which makes it difficult for teams to get rebounds on them. 80% of his rebounds are uncontested and Pelicans have the 4th highest contested rebound rate 51% of his rebounds come from missed three point shots (43% come from missed two’s) and pelicans have the 2nd lowest three point rate this season and 7th best three point percentage.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Ast
He is averaging 11.1 potential assists and 5.5 assists and 44.5 passes, but since Giddey came back from injury (last 8 games), it has dropped down to 10.6 potential assists and 5.1 assists per game and 40.9 passes made. It may not seem like much, but it is when you consider the fact that the Wizards are allowing the 7the least assists per 48 minutes to Point Guards and 9th least opponent assists per game. 37% of his assists come at the rim, and Wizards allow the 5th least points in the paint. If you break it down by zone, you can see that Wizards allow 3rd least field goals made in the restricted area. Another 36% of his assists come from above the break three, and they make the 8th least in the league at the 5th lowest field goal percentage. His highest assisted teammate is Luguentz Dort, where 39% of his shots come in the restricted area and another 34% of his shots are from above the break, at which he shoots at a 27% field goal percentage (not good).
Dejounte Murray Over 20.5 Pts
Murray is averaging 21.5 points per game and has a phenomenal matchup against the Celtics, who allow 2nd most points per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards this season. And not only that, but when you look at his shot frequencies, you see how 41% of his shots are pullups, which Boston allows the 2nd most field goals made. 28% of his shot attempts are midrange, and Boston allows the most field goals made midrange to guards. Boston allows 3rd most points to ball handlers and 41% of his points come from being a handler for play types. His 2nd highest shot frequency is above the break threes, which Boston allows the 2nd most to guards as well. No Marcus Smart to worry about and driving guards have been feasting against Boston.
Steph Curry Under 6 Reb
Curry is averaging 6.6 rebounds on 10.4 Reb chances, which is a high efficiency and today he gets to face the Suns who allow the 4th least rebounds to Point Guards and 12th least opponent rebounds per game. 55% of his rebounds come from three point misses and the Suns have the 11th lowest three point rate this season and 10th highest three point percentage.
Terry Rozier Over 2.5 Threes
Terry has hit this line in five out of eight games this season averaging 3.3 threes made and 9.8 attempts per game. He has gone over ½ times this season with LaMelo playing averaging 2.5 threes made and 7.5 attempts. 35% of his shots come from above the break three and Pacers allow the most field goals made of the break against guards. Pacers allow the 3rd most threes made per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards this season. 25% of his points are catch & shoot, which are all three point attempts as well, and Pacers allow the 3rd most catch & shoot threes. First game with LaMelo, he made 4 threes against Miami, and they allowed the 2nd most, and last game against Orlando, he made none, but they allowed the 8th most. Indiana is 6th worst vs spot up shooters being at the 13.8 percentile, while Terry has been a good spot up shooter this year. Pacers play at third fastest pace and could mean lots of shot attempts go up tonight. Vegas is giving this game the highest point total today at 233.5.
Zach Lavine Under 4 Reb (Underdog, ParlayPlay)
Lavine has gone under this line in 7/10 games this season and is facing the Pelicans who all the least rebounds per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards and allow the 7th least opponent rebounds. They have good length which makes it difficult for teams to get rebounds on them. 80% of his rebounds are uncontested and Pelicans have the 4th highest contested rebound rate 51% of his rebounds come from missed three point shots (43% come from missed two’s) and pelicans have the 2nd lowest three point rate this season and 7th best three point percentage.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Ast
He is averaging 11.1 potential assists and 5.5 assists and 44.5 passes, but since Giddey came back from injury (last 8 games), it has dropped down to 10.6 potential assists and 5.1 assists per game and 40.9 passes made. It may not seem like much, but it is when you consider the fact that the Wizards are allowing the 7the least assists per 48 minutes to Point Guards and 9th least opponent assists per game. 37% of his assists come at the rim, and Wizards allow the 5th least points in the paint. If you break it down by zone, you can see that Wizards allow 3rd least field goals made in the restricted area. Another 36% of his assists come from above the break three, and they make the 8th least in the league at the 5th lowest field goal percentage. His highest assisted teammate is Luguentz Dort, where 39% of his shots come in the restricted area and another 34% of his shots are from above the break, at which he shoots at a 27% field goal percentage (not good).
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