Ja Morant Under 8 Ast
Morant is averaging 6.8 assists and 12.5 potential assists this season, but in the two games without Desmond Bane, he has averaged 4 assists and 12 potential assists. Even when looking at the on/off stats, we see that with Bane on the court, Morant averages 8 assists per 36 minutes, while with Bane off the court, he averages 7.1 assists per 36 minutes. The Thunder are allowing the 4th least assists per 48 minutes per game this season. He is in more of a scoring position tonight because he is averaging 27.4 points per 36 minutes without Bane on the court, and 37.5 points per 36 minutes with Bane on the court and the Thunder are allowing the 9th most points per 48 minutes.
Steven Adams Over 9.5 Reb
Adams is averaging 10.9 rebounds per game and 18.4 rebound chances this season. The Thunder allow the 6th most rebounds per 48 minutes this season, which puts Adams in a great spot today having already gone over this line in 9/14 games this season. Another thing to look at is how 65.4% of his rebounds come from missed two point shots and the Thunder have the 9th highest two point rate. If you were able to see him last game, we saw how he got into early foul trouble, which only allowed him to play 13 minutes, but in those 13 minutes, he grabbed 5 rebounds in a tough matchup against the Pelicans.
Jaylen Brown Under 6 Reb
Brown is averaging 6.1 rebounds and 10.1 rebound chances per game, while Pelicans allow the 2nd least rebounds per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards. 85% of his rebounds are uncontested and Pelicans have the 4th highest contested rebound rate and grabbed the 8th most offensive rebounds. As I have said about Zach Lavine last article, the Pelicans have good length that allows them to defend well and grab rebounds.
Terry Rozier Under 21.5 Pts
Terry is averaging 21.8 points per game without LaMelo Ball this season (20.8 ppg overall on the season). He will be going up against the Cavs who are locking Guards down allowing the 4th least points and least three pointers made per 48 minutes to shooting guards this season. 30% of his points have come on drives, which the Cavs have done good against those types of guards, such as Brunson, Fox, DeRozan, and they have all gone under their point props in those games. 33% of his shots are above the break threes and Cavs allow 4th least made to guards. Another 42% comes from the restricted area and the paint (non-ra), which the Cavs allow the 8th and 4th least field goals made to guards in those areas. Its just simply a tough matchup for guards when facing the Cavs.
Ja Morant Under 8 Ast
Morant is averaging 6.8 assists and 12.5 potential assists this season, but in the two games without Desmond Bane, he has averaged 4 assists and 12 potential assists. Even when looking at the on/off stats, we see that with Bane on the court, Morant averages 8 assists per 36 minutes, while with Bane off the court, he averages 7.1 assists per 36 minutes. The Thunder are allowing the 4th least assists per 48 minutes per game this season. He is in more of a scoring position tonight because he is averaging 27.4 points per 36 minutes without Bane on the court, and 37.5 points per 36 minutes with Bane on the court and the Thunder are allowing the 9th most points per 48 minutes.
Steven Adams Over 9.5 Reb
Adams is averaging 10.9 rebounds per game and 18.4 rebound chances this season. The Thunder allow the 6th most rebounds per 48 minutes this season, which puts Adams in a great spot today having already gone over this line in 9/14 games this season. Another thing to look at is how 65.4% of his rebounds come from missed two point shots and the Thunder have the 9th highest two point rate. If you were able to see him last game, we saw how he got into early foul trouble, which only allowed him to play 13 minutes, but in those 13 minutes, he grabbed 5 rebounds in a tough matchup against the Pelicans.
Jaylen Brown Under 6 Reb
Brown is averaging 6.1 rebounds and 10.1 rebound chances per game, while Pelicans allow the 2nd least rebounds per 48 minutes to Shooting Guards. 85% of his rebounds are uncontested and Pelicans have the 4th highest contested rebound rate and grabbed the 8th most offensive rebounds. As I have said about Zach Lavine last article, the Pelicans have good length that allows them to defend well and grab rebounds.
Terry Rozier Under 21.5 Pts
Terry is averaging 21.8 points per game without LaMelo Ball this season (20.8 ppg overall on the season). He will be going up against the Cavs who are locking Guards down allowing the 4th least points and least three pointers made per 48 minutes to shooting guards this season. 30% of his points have come on drives, which the Cavs have done good against those types of guards, such as Brunson, Fox, DeRozan, and they have all gone under their point props in those games. 33% of his shots are above the break threes and Cavs allow 4th least made to guards. Another 42% comes from the restricted area and the paint (non-ra), which the Cavs allow the 8th and 4th least field goals made to guards in those areas. Its just simply a tough matchup for guards when facing the Cavs.
Let us know by commenting below 👇