Anfernee Simons Over 24.5 Pts

Without Lillard this season, he has gone over this line in 3/5 games averaging 26.6 points per game compared to 21 points per game with him. The Knicks allow the 3rd most points and 9th most three point field goals made to point guards per 48 minutes. Anfernee takes 52% of his shots from above the break three, which is where the Knicks allow the 2nd most field goals made to guards. 33% of his points come from catch & shoot threes and Knicks allow the 2nd most catch & shoot three point field goals made. Knicks allow the most defended three point field goals made this year as well.

Buddy Hield Over 16.5 Pts

Nets allow the most points and most three pointers made per 48 minutes to shooting guards. He had 17 and 22 points last time he played the Nets and for good reason. Brooklyn allows the 10th most catch & shoot three point field goals made, 6th most above the break three point field goals made (57% of his shots), and 5th most defended three point field goals made at the 4th highest percentage. three point shooters dream matchup is against the Nets.

Keldon Johson Under 5.5 Reb (Underdog)

Johnson is averaging 4.4 rebounds on 7.5 rebound chances Lakers allow 2nd most rebounds to small forwards but last time he played them he had 3 rebounds on 5 rebound chances. He is simply just not getting any rebound chances. Most books have this line set at 4.5, which makes sense given he has gone over this line in only 5/27 games this season. The big chunk of his rebounds come from free throw chances and his team fouls at the lowest rate in the league.