Jusuf Nurkic Over 15.5 Pts
Last 6 games without Lillard, he has gone over this line in 4/6 games (6/10 over without Lillard overall on the season) and now gets an excellent matchup against the Jazz who allow the 2nd most points per 48 mins to centers. Last 6 games, he has had a 76% shot frequency inside 10 feet (inside the paint essentially) and Utah allows the most points in the paint, most field goals made inside 10 feet & 2nd most defended field goals made inside 10 feet. Last time he played Utah he had 18 points, and we may see similar production tonight.
Anfernee Simons Under 3.5 Reb (ParlayPlay)
He is averaging 3.1 rebounds and 5.8 rebound chances per game, but without Lillard, he is still averaging 3.1 rebounds and 5.7 rebound chances per game. He has gone over this line in 6/20 game this season. And then when you look at Utah, they are allowing the 2nd least rebounds to point guards this season. With an average rebound distance of 9.8 feet, most of those rebounds come off long shots and Clarkson will be his main matchup who has a 40% shot frequency above the break three, which should pull him away from get high percentage rebounds.
Kyle Anderson Over 6.5 Reb
Since Towns got hurt mid game, the last two games Anderson has played (including the hurt towns game replacing him), he has averaged 7 rebounds and 14.5 rebound chances. He is not a starter but is one without Towns and is averaging 33.5 minutes last two games. The thunder allows the 2nd most rebounds per 48 minutes to power forwards and most opponent rebounds in the league. Game is projected to be high scoring with a 231 point total and are both 5th and 6th in pace of play, which can mean a lot of rebound chances. So far on the season with Towns off the floor and Gobert on the floor, Anderson is averaging 11.1 rebounds per 36 minutes.
Jusuf Nurkic Over 15.5 Pts
Last 6 games without Lillard, he has gone over this line in 4/6 games (6/10 over without Lillard overall on the season) and now gets an excellent matchup against the Jazz who allow the 2nd most points per 48 mins to centers. Last 6 games, he has had a 76% shot frequency inside 10 feet (inside the paint essentially) and Utah allows the most points in the paint, most field goals made inside 10 feet & 2nd most defended field goals made inside 10 feet. Last time he played Utah he had 18 points, and we may see similar production tonight.
Anfernee Simons Under 3.5 Reb (ParlayPlay)
He is averaging 3.1 rebounds and 5.8 rebound chances per game, but without Lillard, he is still averaging 3.1 rebounds and 5.7 rebound chances per game. He has gone over this line in 6/20 game this season. And then when you look at Utah, they are allowing the 2nd least rebounds to point guards this season. With an average rebound distance of 9.8 feet, most of those rebounds come off long shots and Clarkson will be his main matchup who has a 40% shot frequency above the break three, which should pull him away from get high percentage rebounds.
Kyle Anderson Over 6.5 Reb
Since Towns got hurt mid game, the last two games Anderson has played (including the hurt towns game replacing him), he has averaged 7 rebounds and 14.5 rebound chances. He is not a starter but is one without Towns and is averaging 33.5 minutes last two games. The thunder allows the 2nd most rebounds per 48 minutes to power forwards and most opponent rebounds in the league. Game is projected to be high scoring with a 231 point total and are both 5th and 6th in pace of play, which can mean a lot of rebound chances. So far on the season with Towns off the floor and Gobert on the floor, Anderson is averaging 11.1 rebounds per 36 minutes.
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