Pick 5: K. DeBruyne over 0.5 SOT (1.61)

Risk: 1 unit

Kevin de Bruyne since English Premier League restart has been magnificent, and proving why is held of such high regard in football world.

Today, Pep leads his Citizens to Samford Bridge where he'll meet Potter's Blues. Both of them are amazing tactical coaches who can shift games into their favor quickly - especially with the kinds of teams they have.

Potter is more defensive-minded coach, so I don't expect a flying game today, despite Pep's offensive philosophy. Pep insists on ball control, passing and controlling the flow of the match - which suits KDB due to his creativity and role in the right corridor between opponent's lines. 

Why is this important if we're taking player shots? Well, he usually shoots from outside the 16M box, and usually comes in down the middle (from top of the 16M box to 25 meters away). Chelsea allows 12 shots per game to opponents, and 32% shots from outside the box, while 67% of those are down the middle. Right where KDB operates.

Also, he's a set piece taker, so I expect him to try to challenge Kepa from those as well.

Kevin de Bruyne had 1+ SOT in last 2 games (vs Everton and Leeds), so I expect him in the same rhythm today as well.