Welcome back gang! Tonight our Prop of the Day is Nikola Jokic over 40.5 Points + Rebounds -110 on Draftkings Sportsbook.


The Joker has the matchup of all matchups tonight, facing off against the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers rank bottom 5 in all metrics when it comes to guarding bigs. They allow the most points in the paint, 61.3, more than 3 points worse than the 2nd closest team. Also, they are bottom 10 in offensive rebounds allowed per game. With the addition of Siakam, we have also seen them run him at the 5, which would be even better for Jokic, who has no one remotely close to his post presence on the other side. 

Jokic is top 5 in the NBA in rebounding chances, 18.7 and should have a ton of opportunities in this matchup here as well. Over the 10 games, Jokic has only hit this 4 times, but the matchups in which he hit them, were much harder, and 2 of them were blowouts by 25+. He has hit this number in 3 straight games, 1 versus Embiid, the Celtics and the lowly Wizards. Over these last 3, we have seen 20 rebounding chances per game, and 14 boards per. Lastly, over these past 10 games, we have seen 5 of them on the road. He's hit this number in 4 of 5 on the road, with games staying much closer. Expect Jokic to dominate the paint here and run circles around Turner, Toppin and Siakam as they try to slow down the Joker.