Donovan Mitchell Over 24.5 Pts (-118 DK)

Mitchell noted how 14 and 16 field goal attempts is terrible for him and shows a lack of aggression. He is coming back home now and needs to have a legacy game tonight. I am looking for him to take 20+ attempts tonight. In games with 20+ field goal attempts, he’s gone over this prop in 26 of 33 games this season. with Wendell Carter Jr starting the past two games, they need to get him out of the paint. Magic have been staying home on shooters and this is the perfect opportunity to take advantage of his pullup shooting. Magic have been fine playing drop most the series and versus drop you have to take advantage with pullup shooting.

Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 Pts (+100 DK)

The Pacers have a lot of shooters around and after destroying them the first two games scoring, he has turned into mainly a facilitator the past two games as they are doubling him. The Bucks have to bite the bullet somewhere to lock down Haliburton, or Siakam but you can’t focus on both. They need Portis to not get thrown out the game to make it more competitive but Siakam should eat as a facilitator with all the spacing they have. They went from double Haliburton to doubling Siakam and it shows because his attempts went from 25 and 23 the first two games to 17 and 14 attempts the past two. In games with 32+ minutes with Haliburton and Turner taking 18 or less field goal attempts, he’s gone under this prop in 14 of 17 games this season.