Happy July 4th everyone! Hope you are all doing well and are able to enjoy this day with your family. If your family is anything like mine, you are watching baseball all day with the grill out. If that's what you are doing today, might as well lock in this plus money spot, for one of the hottest batters in the MLB. My Pine Prop of the Day is going to be Ryan Mountcastle over 1.5 TB +110

Ryan Mountcastle has been on an absolute heater since June. Batting .312, and also adding 8 homers and 20 RBI's to his slash line. In 11 July at bats, he has a homer, 3 doubles and hit his total base prop in all 3 games. A metric I love to use when batters are rolling like this is their WRC+. During June we saw Ryan's jump from 112 to 168, and over these first 3 July games, an absurd 320 wRC+.  Ryan is now top 3% in the MLB in XBA, XWOBA and hard hit percentage. All that means is, he hits the ball pretty hard. 

Matchup: Dane Dunning is throwing for the Texas Rangers today and he has been very hittable on the road this season. In his road starts this season, Dunning is rocking a .305 batting average allowed, 4.58 FIP and over a 1.7 WHIP. Mountcastle has a 52.8% hard hit rate so far this year, Strikeouts have been his only issue, but against Dunning he doesn't have to worry about that as much. Dunning only strikes out 17% of batters on the road and .351 batting average on balls in play. We have a guy who doesn't miss many bats, versus a guy who hits the ball hard over 50% of time and mid 80s weather... sign me up for some Mountcastle shares today!